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Is Litian Pictures Holdings (HKG:9958) A Risky Investment?

Is Litian Pictures Holdings (HKG:9958) A Risky Investment?

力天影业控股(HKG:9958)是一项风险投资吗?
Simply Wall St ·  09/27 18:48

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Litian Pictures Holdings Limited (HKG:9958) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

沃伦·巴菲特曾经说过,“波动性与风险迥然不同。” 当我们考虑一家公司的风险程度时,我们总是喜欢看看它的债务使用情况,因为债务过多可能导致破产。 我们注意到力天影业控股有限公司(HKG:9958)的资产负债表上确实有债务。 但这笔债务会让股东担忧吗?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

债务带来了什么风险?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

一般来说,只有当公司不能轻易地通过筹集资本或自有现金流来偿还债务时,债务才会成为真正的问题。资本主义的本质是“创造性破坏”过程,其中失败的企业被其银行家无情地清算。但更普遍的(但仍然痛苦的)情况是,公司必须以较低的价格筹集新的股本资本,从而永久稀释股东。话虽如此,最常见的情况是公司合理地管理其债务,从而使其受益。考虑公司债务水平的第一步是同时考虑其现金和债务。

What Is Litian Pictures Holdings's Debt?

力天影业控股的债务是多少?

As you can see below, Litian Pictures Holdings had CN¥153.1m of debt at June 2024, down from CN¥205.0m a year prior. And it doesn't have much cash, so its net debt is about the same.

正如您所看到的,2024年6月,力天影业控股的债务为15310万人民币,比一年前的20500万人民币有所减少。而且它现金不多,净债务大致相同。

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SEHK:9958 Debt to Equity History September 27th 2024
SEHK:9958债务与股本比历史数据2024年9月27日

A Look At Litian Pictures Holdings' Liabilities

查看力天影业控股的负债情况

The latest balance sheet data shows that Litian Pictures Holdings had liabilities of CN¥684.0m due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥1.74m falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥2.44m and CN¥104.7m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥578.6m.

最新资产负债表数据显示,力天影业控股一年内到期的负债为68400万人民币,之后到期的负债为174万人民币。另一方面,其现金为244万人民币,一年内到期的应收账款价值10470万人民币。因此,其负债超过现金和(短期)应收账款总和57860万人民币。

This deficit casts a shadow over the CN¥78.5m company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. After all, Litian Pictures Holdings would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Litian Pictures Holdings will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

这种赤字如同庞然大物般笼罩在7850万人民币公司之上。因此,我们认为股东需要密切关注这一点。毕竟,如果力天影业控股今天必须偿付债权人,很可能需要进行重大的再资本化。资产负债表显然是进行债务分析时要重点关注的地方。但是,不能孤立地看待债务;因为力天影业控股需要盈利来偿还这笔债务。因此,如果您渴望了解更多关于其盈利的信息,不妨查看其长期盈利趋势的图表。

Over 12 months, Litian Pictures Holdings made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to CN¥46m, which is a fall of 44%. That makes us nervous, to say the least.

在12个月内,力天影业控股在EBIt水平上出现亏损,并且其营业收入下降至4600万人民币,下降了44%。这令我们感到非常紧张。

Caveat Emptor

买方自负。

While Litian Pictures Holdings's falling revenue is about as heartwarming as a wet blanket, arguably its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is even less appealing. Its EBIT loss was a whopping CN¥129m. When you combine this with the very significant balance sheet liabilities mentioned above, we are so wary of it that we are basically at a loss for the right words. Like every long-shot we're sure it has a glossy presentation outlining its blue-sky potential. But the reality is that it is low on liquid assets relative to liabilities, and it lost CN¥159m in the last year. So we think buying this stock is risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should learn about the 3 warning signs we've spotted with Litian Pictures Holdings (including 2 which are a bit unpleasant) .

尽管力天影业控股收入下降令人心情沉重,可谓大雨滂沱,但其利息(EBIT)亏损更加令人不满。其EBIt亏损高达12900万人民币。当你将此与上述非常重要的资产负债表负债相结合时,我们对其非常警惕,以至于我们基本上找不到合适的词语。与其他冒险一样,我们确信它有一份解释其蓝天潜力的华丽陈述文稿。但现实情况是,相对于负债,其流动资产不足,并且去年亏损15900万人民币。因此,我们认为购买这支股票存在风险。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中最多了解债务。但最终,每家公司都可能存在资产负债表之外的风险。为此,您应该了解我们发现的力天影业控股的3个警示标志(其中有2个有点令人不快)。

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

如果在所有这些之后,您更感兴趣的是具有坚实资产负债表的快速增长公司,那么不要拖延,查看我们的净现金增长股票列表。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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