Hongrun Construction Group Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:002062) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 11.6x might make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the market in China, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 29x and even P/E's above 54x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.
For example, consider that Hongrun Construction Group's financial performance has been poor lately as its earnings have been in decline. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think the company won't do enough to avoid underperforming the broader market in the near future. However, if this doesn't eventuate then existing shareholders may be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Hongrun Construction Group's earnings, revenue and cash flow.
Does Growth Match The Low P/E?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far underperform the market for P/E ratios like Hongrun Construction Group's to be considered reasonable.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 14% decrease to the company's bottom line. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk EPS by 21% in aggregate. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
In contrast to the company, the rest of the market is expected to grow by 36% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term earnings decline into perspective.
In light of this, it's understandable that Hongrun Construction Group's P/E would sit below the majority of other companies. However, we think shrinking earnings are unlikely to lead to a stable P/E over the longer term, which could set up shareholders for future disappointment. There's potential for the P/E to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its profitability.
The Key Takeaway
Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
We've established that Hongrun Construction Group maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its sliding earnings over the medium-term, as expected. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it's hard to see the share price moving strongly in either direction in the near future under these circumstances.
Having said that, be aware Hongrun Construction Group is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis, you should know about.
Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Hongrun Construction Group. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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