FriendTimes Inc. (HKG:6820) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 26% in the last month, although it is still struggling to make up recently lost ground. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 25% in the last twelve months.
Although its price has surged higher, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about FriendTimes' P/S ratio of 1.2x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Entertainment industry in Hong Kong is also close to 1.5x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.
How Has FriendTimes Performed Recently?
FriendTimes hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining revenue compares poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth in their revenues on average. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is moderate because investors think this poor revenue performance will turn around. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on FriendTimes.
Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For FriendTimes?
The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like FriendTimes' is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.
Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 27%. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 51% in total over the last three years. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.
Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 56% as estimated by the two analysts watching the company. With the industry only predicted to deliver 39%, the company is positioned for a stronger revenue result.
With this information, we find it interesting that FriendTimes is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. Apparently some shareholders are skeptical of the forecasts and have been accepting lower selling prices.
What Does FriendTimes' P/S Mean For Investors?
FriendTimes appears to be back in favour with a solid price jump bringing its P/S back in line with other companies in the industry It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
We've established that FriendTimes currently trades on a lower than expected P/S since its forecasted revenue growth is higher than the wider industry. Perhaps uncertainty in the revenue forecasts are what's keeping the P/S ratio consistent with the rest of the industry. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued, but investors seem to think future revenue could see some volatility.
Having said that, be aware FriendTimes is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis, you should know about.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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