When close to half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 19x, you may consider Warrior Met Coal, Inc. (NYSE:HCC) as a highly attractive investment with its 8x P/E ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.
Warrior Met Coal has been struggling lately as its earnings have declined faster than most other companies. The P/E is probably low because investors think this poor earnings performance isn't going to improve at all. You'd much rather the company wasn't bleeding earnings if you still believe in the business. Or at the very least, you'd be hoping the earnings slide doesn't get any worse if your plan is to pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Warrior Met Coal.
Does Growth Match The Low P/E?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far underperform the market for P/E ratios like Warrior Met Coal's to be considered reasonable.
Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 9.3%. Unfortunately, that's brought it right back to where it started three years ago with EPS growth being virtually non-existent overall during that time. Therefore, it's fair to say that earnings growth has been inconsistent recently for the company.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to slump, contracting by 2.7% each year during the coming three years according to the five analysts following the company. That's not great when the rest of the market is expected to grow by 10% per annum.
With this information, we are not surprised that Warrior Met Coal is trading at a P/E lower than the market. However, shrinking earnings are unlikely to lead to a stable P/E over the longer term. There's potential for the P/E to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its profitability.
The Bottom Line On Warrior Met Coal's P/E
Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
We've established that Warrior Met Coal maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its forecast for sliding earnings, as expected. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Warrior Met Coal you should know about.
If you're unsure about the strength of Warrior Met Coal's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content?Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
当美国近一半公司的市盈率(或“P/E”)超过19倍时,您可以考虑买入Warrior Met Coal,Inc.(NYSE:HCC),其市盈率为8倍,是一项非常具吸引力的投资。虽然,仅仅以P/E来判断可能不明智,因为这种有限情况可能有解释。
Warrior Met Coal最近面临困境,因为其盈利下降速度比大多数其他公司快。市盈率可能较低是因为投资者认为这种糟糕的盈利表现不会有所改善。如果您仍然相信该业务,您肯定希望公司不再出现亏损。或者至少,如果您计划在股价不受青睐时收购一些股票,您希望盈利不会进一步恶化。
如果您想了解分析师们未来的预测,请查看我们关于Warrior Met Coal的免费报告。
增长是否符合低市盈率?
存在这样一个固有假设,即公司的市盈率(如Warrior Met Coal的)应该明显低于市场表现,才能被视为合理。