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When Should You Buy Singapore Airlines Limited (SGX:C6L)?

When Should You Buy Singapore Airlines Limited (SGX:C6L)?

何时应该买入新加坡航空公司有限公司(新加坡交易所:C6L)?
Simply Wall St ·  09/29 21:29

Today we're going to take a look at the well-established Singapore Airlines Limited (SGX:C6L). The company's stock saw a double-digit share price rise of over 10% in the past couple of months on the SGX. Shareholders may appreciate the recent price jump, but the company still has a way to go before reaching its yearly highs again. As a large-cap stock with high coverage by analysts, you could assume any recent changes in the company's outlook is already priced into the stock. However, could the stock still be trading at a relatively cheap price? Let's examine Singapore Airlines's valuation and outlook in more detail to determine if there's still a bargain opportunity.

今天我们将介绍一下成熟的新加坡航空公司(SGX: C6L)。该公司的股票在过去几个月内在新加坡交易所上涨了超过10%。股东们可能会欣赏最近的股价飙升,但是在再次达到年度最高点之前,公司还有一段路要走。作为受到分析师高度关注的大市值股票,你可以假设公司最近的业绩变化已经反映在股价中。然而,股票仍然可能在相对便宜的价格区间交易吗?让我们更详细地审查新加坡航空公司的估值和展望,以确定是否仍有折扣机会。

Is Singapore Airlines Still Cheap?

新加坡航空公司仍然便宜吗?

The share price seems sensible at the moment according to our price multiple model, where we compare the company's price-to-earnings ratio to the industry average. In this instance, we've used the price-to-earnings (PE) ratio given that there is not enough information to reliably forecast the stock's cash flows. We find that Singapore Airlines's ratio of 8.86x is trading slightly below its industry peers' ratio of 10.1x, which means if you buy Singapore Airlines today, you'd be paying a decent price for it. And if you believe Singapore Airlines should be trading in this range, then there isn't much room for the share price to grow beyond the levels of other industry peers over the long-term. Furthermore, Singapore Airlines's share price also seems relatively stable compared to the rest of the market, as indicated by its low beta. This may mean it is less likely for the stock to fall lower from natural market volatility, which suggests less opportunities to buy moving forward.

根据我们的价格倍数模型,目前股价看起来还是合理的,我们将公司的市盈率与行业平均水平进行比较。在这种情况下,我们使用市盈率,因为没有足够的信息可靠地预测股票的现金流。我们发现新加坡航空公司的市盈率为8.86倍,略低于其行业同行的市盈率10.1倍,这意味着如果你今天购买新加坡航空公司,你会以一个相当合理的价格购买。如果你相信新加坡航空公司应该在这个价格区间内交易,那么股价在长期内增长的空间就不会超过其他行业同行的水平。此外,新加坡航空公司的股价相对于市场其他部分也似乎相对稳定,这由其低贝塔值显示。这可能意味着股票不太可能因自然的市场波动而进一步下跌,这表明未来买入机会相对较少。

Can we expect growth from Singapore Airlines?

我们可以预期新加坡航空公司的增长吗?

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SGX:C6L Earnings and Revenue Growth September 30th 2024
SGX:C6L 2024年9月30日营收和盈利增长

Future outlook is an important aspect when you're looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let's also take a look at the company's future expectations. Though in the case of Singapore Airlines, it is expected to deliver a highly negative earnings growth in the next few years, which doesn't help build up its investment thesis. It appears that risk of future uncertainty is high, at least in the near term.

未来展望对于考虑购买股票的时候至关重要,尤其是如果你是一位希望在投资组合中寻找增长机会的投资者。以廉价价格购买一家有稳健前景的优质公司始终是一笔不错的投资,因此让我们也来看一下公司的未来预期。虽然在新加坡航空公司的情况下,预计未来几年将出现高度负面的盈利增长,这并不有助于建立其投资论点。至少从短期看来,未来不确定性的风险很高。

What This Means For You

这对您意味着什么?

Are you a shareholder? Currently, C6L appears to be trading around industry price multiples, but given the uncertainty from negative returns in the future, this could be the right time to reduce the risk in your portfolio. Is your current exposure to the stock beneficial for your total portfolio? And is the opportunity cost of holding a negative-outlook stock too high? Before you make a decision on C6L, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.

您是股东吗?目前,C6L股票的交易价格似乎在行业价格区间内波动,但考虑到未来可能出现的负收益带来的不确定性,现在可能是减少投资组合风险的合适时机。您当前持有的股票是否有利于您的整体投资组合?持有一个前景不佳的股票所带来的机会成本是否过高?在决定是否继续持有C6L之前,请检查其基本面是否发生了变化。

Are you a potential investor? If you've been keeping tabs on C6L for a while, now may not be the most optimal time to buy, given it is trading around industry price multiples. This means there's less benefit from mispricing. Furthermore, the negative growth outlook increases the risk of holding the stock. However, there are also other important factors we haven't considered today, which can help crystallize your views on C6L should the price fluctuate below the industry PE ratio.

您是潜在投资者吗?如果您一直在关注C6L股票,现在可能不是最佳的买入时机,因为其交易价格似乎在行业价格区间内波动。这意味着从错价中获益较少。此外,负增长前景增加了持有股票的风险。然而,今天我们还没有考虑到其他重要因素,这些因素可以在股价波动低于行业市盈率时帮助澄清您对C6L的看法。

With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. Every company has risks, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Singapore Airlines (of which 1 is a bit concerning!) you should know about.

在这种情况下,除非我们对风险有深入了解,否则我们不会考虑投资股票。每家公司都存在风险,我们已经发现新加坡航空公司存在2个预警信号(其中1个有点令人担忧!)请注意。

If you are no longer interested in Singapore Airlines, you can use our free platform to see our list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.

如果您对新加坡航空公司不再感兴趣,您可以使用我们的免费平台查看我们超过50只其他具有高增长潜力的股票列表。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

对本文有任何反馈?对内容有任何疑虑?请直接与我们联系。或者,发送电子邮件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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