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Guilin Seamild Foods' (SZSE:002956) Earnings Trajectory Could Turn Positive as the Stock Hikes 15% This Past Week

Guilin Seamild Foods' (SZSE:002956) Earnings Trajectory Could Turn Positive as the Stock Hikes 15% This Past Week

西麦食品(SZSE:002956)的收入轨迹可能会因股票上涨15%,而在上周转为正面。
Simply Wall St ·  09/30 02:26

This week we saw the Guilin Seamild Foods Co., Ltd (SZSE:002956) share price climb by 15%. But over the last half decade, the stock has not performed well. After all, the share price is down 36% in that time, significantly under-performing the market.

本周,我们看到了西麦食品股份有限公司(SZSE:002956)股价上涨了15%。 但在过去的半个多十年里,该股表现不佳。 毕竟,在那段时间里,股价下跌了36%,远远落后于市场。

While the stock has risen 15% in the past week but long term shareholders are still in the red, let's see what the fundamentals can tell us.

尽管股票上涨了15%,但远期股东仍处于亏损状态,让我们看看基本面能够告诉我们什么。

While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

虽然市场是一个强大的定价机制,但股价反映的不仅仅是企业的基本业绩,还有投资者的情绪。一个不完美但简单的方式来考虑公司市场意识的变化是比较每股收益(EPS)的变化和股价的变化。

Looking back five years, both Guilin Seamild Foods' share price and EPS declined; the latter at a rate of 9.3% per year. This change in EPS is reasonably close to the 8% average annual decrease in the share price. This implies that the market has had a fairly steady view of the stock. So it's fair to say the share price has been responding to changes in EPS.

回顾过去五年,西麦食品的股价和每股收益均下降;后者的年均下降率为9.3%。 每股收益的变化与股价年均下跌8%的平均水平相当接近。 这意味着市场对该股持有相当稳定的看法。 因此可以说股价一直在对每股收益的变化做出反应。

The graphic below depicts how EPS has changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

下图显示了EPS随时间变化的情况(点击图像以显示确切值)。

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SZSE:002956 Earnings Per Share Growth September 30th 2024
2024年9月30日的每股收益增长

This free interactive report on Guilin Seamild Foods' earnings, revenue and cash flow is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.

作为免费互动报告,关于西麦食品的盈利、营业收入和现金流,如果你想进一步研究这支股票,这是一个很好的起点。

What About Dividends?

那么分红怎么样呢?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. We note that for Guilin Seamild Foods the TSR over the last 5 years was -30%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

投资者除了衡量股价回报外,还应考虑总股东回报(TSR)。 TSR将任何拆分或折价增资的价值,以及任何分红纳入计算,基于分红再投资的假设。因此,对于支付丰厚股息的公司,TSR往往比股价回报高得多。我们注意到,西麦食品过去5年的TSR为-30%,比上述股价回报要好。这在很大程度上是其分红支付的结果!

A Different Perspective

不同的观点

While the broader market lost about 6.0% in the twelve months, Guilin Seamild Foods shareholders did even worse, losing 12% (even including dividends). Having said that, it's inevitable that some stocks will be oversold in a falling market. The key is to keep your eyes on the fundamental developments. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it was worse than the annualised loss of 5% over the last half decade. Generally speaking long term share price weakness can be a bad sign, though contrarian investors might want to research the stock in hope of a turnaround. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. For example, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Guilin Seamild Foods (1 is concerning!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

虽然整个市场在过去12个月损失约6.0%,但西麦食品的股东表现得更糟糕,损失了12%(即使包括分红)。话虽如此,在一个下跌的市场中,一些股票被过度抛售是不可避免的。关键是要关注基本面的发展。 不幸的是,去年的表现可能表明存在未解决的挑战,因为它比过去半个十年的年化亏损5%还要糟糕。 一般来说,长期股价疲软可能是一个不好的迹象,尽管逆向投资者可能希望研究这支股票,期待逆转。 虽然值得考虑市场条件对股价的影响,但有其他更重要的因素。 例如,我们发现了3条关于西麦食品的警示信号(1条令人关注!),在投资这里之前,你应该注意这些。

If you are like me, then you will not want to miss this free list of undervalued small caps that insiders are buying.

如果您像我一样,就不会希望错过这份免费的内部人士正在购买的低估小市值股票列表。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所上市的股票的市场加权平均回报。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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