Investing in Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS) Five Years Ago Would Have Delivered You a 201% Gain
Investing in Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS) Five Years Ago Would Have Delivered You a 201% Gain
When you buy a stock there is always a possibility that it could drop 100%. But on the bright side, if you buy shares in a high quality company at the right price, you can gain well over 100%. For example, the Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS) share price has soared 156% in the last half decade. Most would be very happy with that. We note the stock price is up 1.6% in the last seven days.
当您买入股票时,总会有可能跌幅达到100%。但值得一提的是,如果您以合适的价格买入高质量公司的股份,您可以获得超过100%的收益。例如,摩根士丹利(纽交所:MS)的股价在过去半个十年内大涨了156%。大多数人对此应该感到非常满意。我们注意到股价在过去七天上涨了1.6%。
So let's assess the underlying fundamentals over the last 5 years and see if they've moved in lock-step with shareholder returns.
因此,让我们评估过去5年的基本面,看看它们是否和股东的回报率相符。
To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).
引用巴菲特的话,“船只会在世界各地航行,但扁平地球协会将空前盛行。市场上的价格和价值将继续存在巨大差异… ”检查市场情绪如何随时间变化的一种方法是查看公司的股价与每股收益(EPS)之间的互动。
During five years of share price growth, Morgan Stanley achieved compound earnings per share (EPS) growth of 5.5% per year. This EPS growth is lower than the 21% average annual increase in the share price. So it's fair to assume the market has a higher opinion of the business than it did five years ago. And that's hardly shocking given the track record of growth.
在五年的股价增长期间,摩栗士丹利的每股收益复合增长率为5.5%。这一每股收益增长率低于股价的年均增长率21%。因此,可以合理假设市场比五年前更看好这家企业。鉴于其增长记录,这并不令人震惊。
You can see how EPS has changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).
您可以在下面的图片中查看每股收益如何随时间变化(单击图表以查看确切的价值)。
This free interactive report on Morgan Stanley's earnings, revenue and cash flow is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.
这份免费的互动报告涵盖了摩根士丹利的收益、营业收入和现金流,如果您想进一步调查这支股票,这是一个很好的开始。
What About Dividends?
那么分红怎么样呢?
When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. In the case of Morgan Stanley, it has a TSR of 201% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!
在考虑投资回报时,重要的是要考虑总股东回报(TSR)与股价回报之间的差异。 TSR包括任何分拆或折价资金筹集的价值,以及任何分红,基于分红被再投资的假设。 可以说,TSR为支付股息的股票提供了更完整的图片。 就摩根士丹利而言,过去5年的TSR为201%。 这超过了我们之前提到的股价回报。 这在很大程度上是其分红支付的结果!
A Different Perspective
不同的观点
Morgan Stanley shareholders have received returns of 35% over twelve months (even including dividends), which isn't far from the general market return. That gain looks pretty satisfying, and it is even better than the five-year TSR of 25% per year. It is possible that management foresight will bring growth well into the future, even if the share price slows down. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Morgan Stanley that you should be aware of before investing here.
摩根士丹利股东在过去12个月中获得了35%的回报(即使包括分红在内),这与一般市场回报相差无几。 这份收益看起来相当令人满意,甚至比过去5年的TSR每年25%更好。 可能管理层的远见将带来未来的增长,即使股价放缓。 虽然值得考虑市场条件对股价的不同影响,但还有更重要的其他因素。 例如,我们发现了摩根士丹利的2个警示迹象,您在此投资之前应注意。
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies we expect will grow earnings.
当然,您可能在其他地方找到一家出色的企业进行投资。因此,请查看我们预计将实现盈利增长的公司的免费列表。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.
请注意,本文所引述的市场回报反映了目前在美国交易所上市的股票的市场加权平均回报。
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这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。