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Automatic Data Processing (NASDAQ:ADP) Shareholders Have Earned a 14% CAGR Over the Last Five Years

Automatic Data Processing (NASDAQ:ADP) Shareholders Have Earned a 14% CAGR Over the Last Five Years

自动数据处理(纳斯达克:ADP)股东在过去五年内实现了14%的年复合增长率
Simply Wall St ·  12:43

The main point of investing for the long term is to make money. Better yet, you'd like to see the share price move up more than the market average. Unfortunately for shareholders, while the Automatic Data Processing, Inc. (NASDAQ:ADP) share price is up 72% in the last five years, that's less than the market return. Looking at the last year alone, the stock is up 14%.

长期投资的主要目的是赚钱。更好的是,您希望看到股价的涨幅超过市场平均水平。不幸的是,对于股东来说,尽管纳斯达克:自动数据处理公司(NASDAQ:ADP)的股价在过去五年中上涨了72%,但这低于市场回报。仅看过去一年,该股上涨了14%。

Now it's worth having a look at the company's fundamentals too, because that will help us determine if the long term shareholder return has matched the performance of the underlying business.

现在值得更详细地了解该公司的基本面,因为这将帮助我们判断长期股东回报是否与基础业务的表现相匹配。

In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

沃伦·巴菲特在他的文章《格雷厄姆与多德维尔的超级投资者》中描述了股票价格并不总是合理地反映了一家企业的价值。考虑市场对一家公司的看法如何转变的一种不完美但简单的方法,是将每股收益(EPS)的变化与股价的动态进行比较。

During five years of share price growth, Automatic Data Processing achieved compound earnings per share (EPS) growth of 12% per year. That makes the EPS growth particularly close to the yearly share price growth of 11%. This indicates that investor sentiment towards the company has not changed a great deal. Rather, the share price has approximately tracked EPS growth.

在五年的股价增长期间,自动数据处理公司的每股收益(EPS)复合增长率达到每年12%。这使得每股收益的增长特别接近每年11%的股价增长率。这表明投资者对该公司的情绪并没有发生很大变化。相反,股价大致上跟踪每股收益的增长。

You can see how EPS has changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).

您可以在下面的图片中查看每股收益如何随时间变化(单击图表以查看确切的价值)。

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NasdaqGS:ADP Earnings Per Share Growth September 30th 2024
纳斯达克GS:自动数据处理每股收益增长截止2024年9月30日

We know that Automatic Data Processing has improved its bottom line lately, but is it going to grow revenue? If you're interested, you could check this free report showing consensus revenue forecasts.

我们知道自动数据处理最近改善了其底线,但它是否会增长营业收入?如果您感兴趣,可以查看这份显示共识营收预测的免费报告。

What About Dividends?

那么分红怎么样呢?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. In the case of Automatic Data Processing, it has a TSR of 91% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

在投资回报时,重要考虑总股东回报(TSR)和股价回报之间的差异。股价回报仅反映股价变化,而TSR包括红利价值(假设重新投资)以及任何折扣资本筹集或分拆的好处。对于支付丰厚红利的公司,TSR往往比股价回报高得多。就自动数据处理而言,过去5年TSR为91%。这超过了我们之前提到的股价回报。毫无疑问,红利支付在很大程度上解释了这种分歧!

A Different Perspective

不同的观点

Automatic Data Processing shareholders are up 17% for the year (even including dividends). But that return falls short of the market. On the bright side, that's still a gain, and it's actually better than the average return of 14% over half a decade This could indicate that the company is winning over new investors, as it pursues its strategy. Before spending more time on Automatic Data Processing it might be wise to click here to see if insiders have been buying or selling shares.

自动数据处理的股东今年实现了17%的回报(包括红利)。但这种回报仍远低于市场水平。好消息是,这仍然是收益,并且实际上比过去半个世纪的平均回报14%更好。这可能表明公司正在赢得新投资者的支持,因为它正在执行其策略。在花费更多时间研究自动数据处理之前,点击这里查看内部人员是否一直在买入或卖出股份可能是明智之举。

Of course Automatic Data Processing may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks.

当然,自动数据处理可能不是最好的股票购买选择。因此,您可能希望查看这些免费的成长股收藏。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

请注意,本文所引述的市场回报反映了目前在美国交易所上市的股票的市场加权平均回报。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。

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