Zhejiang Tiantie Industry Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300587) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 31% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 21% in the last twelve months.
After such a large jump in price, you could be forgiven for thinking Zhejiang Tiantie Industry is a stock not worth researching with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 3.6x, considering almost half the companies in China's Chemicals industry have P/S ratios below 2x. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.
What Does Zhejiang Tiantie Industry's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
For instance, Zhejiang Tiantie Industry's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from collapsing. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Zhejiang Tiantie Industry, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.
Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Zhejiang Tiantie Industry?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Zhejiang Tiantie Industry would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the industry.
Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 17%. This has erased any of its gains during the last three years, with practically no change in revenue being achieved in total. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been overly satisfied with the unstable medium-term growth rates.
Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 23% shows it's an unpleasant look.
In light of this, it's alarming that Zhejiang Tiantie Industry's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
What Does Zhejiang Tiantie Industry's P/S Mean For Investors?
Zhejiang Tiantie Industry shares have taken a big step in a northerly direction, but its P/S is elevated as a result. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
We've established that Zhejiang Tiantie Industry currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. When we see revenue heading backwards and underperforming the industry forecasts, we feel the possibility of the share price declining is very real, bringing the P/S back into the realm of reasonability. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.
There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 3 warning signs for Zhejiang Tiantie Industry (2 are a bit concerning!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Zhejiang Tiantie Industry, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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