Hwa Create Corporation (SZSE:300045) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 31% after a shaky period beforehand. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 20% over that time.
After such a large jump in price, you could be forgiven for thinking Hwa Create is a stock to steer clear of with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 16.7x, considering almost half the companies in China's Aerospace & Defense industry have P/S ratios below 6.2x. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.
How Has Hwa Create Performed Recently?
Recent times have been advantageous for Hwa Create as its revenues have been rising faster than most other companies. It seems that many are expecting the strong revenue performance to persist, which has raised the P/S. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.
Keen to find out how analysts think Hwa Create's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.
What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?
Hwa Create's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the industry.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 121%. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 35% overall rise in revenue, aided by its short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 32% during the coming year according to the sole analyst following the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 39% growth, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.
In light of this, it's alarming that Hwa Create's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as this level of revenue growth is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
The Final Word
The strong share price surge has lead to Hwa Create's P/S soaring as well. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.
It comes as a surprise to see Hwa Create trade at such a high P/S given the revenue forecasts look less than stellar. When we see a weak revenue outlook, we suspect the share price faces a much greater risk of declining, bringing back down the P/S figures. This places shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.
There are also other vital risk factors to consider before investing and we've discovered 2 warning signs for Hwa Create that you should be aware of.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Hwa Create, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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