Despite an already strong run, CStone Pharmaceuticals (HKG:2616) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 26% in the last thirty days. Unfortunately, despite the strong performance over the last month, the full year gain of 5.4% isn't as attractive.
Even after such a large jump in price, CStone Pharmaceuticals may still be sending very bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 4.8x, since almost half of all companies in the Biotechs industry in Hong Kong have P/S ratios greater than 9.8x and even P/S higher than 54x are not unusual. However, the P/S might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
How CStone Pharmaceuticals Has Been Performing
CStone Pharmaceuticals could be doing better as its revenue has been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive revenue growth. It seems that many are expecting the poor revenue performance to persist, which has repressed the P/S ratio. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on CStone Pharmaceuticals will help you uncover what's on the horizon.
What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?
CStone Pharmaceuticals' P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very poor growth or even falling revenue, and importantly, perform much worse than the industry.
Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 3.6%. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 55% in total over the last three years. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 33% each year as estimated by the sole analyst watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 52% per year growth forecast for the broader industry.
With this information, we can see why CStone Pharmaceuticals is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.
The Final Word
CStone Pharmaceuticals' recent share price jump still sees fails to bring its P/S alongside the industry median. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
As expected, our analysis of CStone Pharmaceuticals' analyst forecasts confirms that the company's underwhelming revenue outlook is a major contributor to its low P/S. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
Many other vital risk factors can be found on the company's balance sheet. Our free balance sheet analysis for CStone Pharmaceuticals with six simple checks will allow you to discover any risks that could be an issue.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content?Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.