The East Money Information Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:300059) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 88%. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 34% in the last year.
After such a large jump in price, given around half the companies in China have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 29x, you may consider East Money InformationLtd as a stock to potentially avoid with its 39.9x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
There hasn't been much to differentiate East Money InformationLtd's and the market's retreating earnings lately. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think the company can turn things around and break free from the broader downward trend in earnings. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
Keen to find out how analysts think East Money InformationLtd's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.
Does Growth Match The High P/E?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should outperform the market for P/E ratios like East Money InformationLtd's to be considered reasonable.
If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 1.3%. That put a dampener on the good run it was having over the longer-term as its three-year EPS growth is still a noteworthy 13% in total. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would be roughly satisfied with the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 6.2% per annum as estimated by the analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 19% each year, which is noticeably more attractive.
In light of this, it's alarming that East Money InformationLtd's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects, but the analyst cohort is not so confident this will happen. There's a good chance these shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.
The Key Takeaway
East Money InformationLtd's P/E is getting right up there since its shares have risen strongly. Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
We've established that East Money InformationLtd currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its forecast growth is lower than the wider market. When we see a weak earnings outlook with slower than market growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. Unless these conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
There are also other vital risk factors to consider before investing and we've discovered 1 warning sign for East Money InformationLtd that you should be aware of.
You might be able to find a better investment than East Money InformationLtd. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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