Chengdu KSW Technologies Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:688283) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 37% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 45% over that time.
Since its price has surged higher, Chengdu KSW TechnologiesLtd's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 40.1x might make it look like a sell right now compared to the market in China, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 29x and even P/E's below 18x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.
With earnings that are retreating more than the market's of late, Chengdu KSW TechnologiesLtd has been very sluggish. It might be that many expect the dismal earnings performance to recover substantially, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
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Does Growth Match The High P/E?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as high as Chengdu KSW TechnologiesLtd's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market.
If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 12%. That put a dampener on the good run it was having over the longer-term as its three-year EPS growth is still a noteworthy 20% in total. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a good job of growing earnings over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 35% per annum as estimated by the only analyst watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to only expand by 19% per annum, which is noticeably less attractive.
With this information, we can see why Chengdu KSW TechnologiesLtd is trading at such a high P/E compared to the market. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.
The Bottom Line On Chengdu KSW TechnologiesLtd's P/E
The large bounce in Chengdu KSW TechnologiesLtd's shares has lifted the company's P/E to a fairly high level. Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
As we suspected, our examination of Chengdu KSW TechnologiesLtd's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook is contributing to its high P/E. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.
Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Chengdu KSW TechnologiesLtd that you should be aware of.
If you're unsure about the strength of Chengdu KSW TechnologiesLtd's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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