The Shenzhen Leaguer Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002243) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 29%. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 15% in the last twelve months.
Since its price has surged higher, given close to half the companies in China have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 29x, you may consider Shenzhen Leaguer as a stock to avoid entirely with its 46.7x P/E ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/E.
For instance, Shenzhen Leaguer's receding earnings in recent times would have to be some food for thought. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Shenzhen Leaguer, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.
Is There Enough Growth For Shenzhen Leaguer?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as steep as Shenzhen Leaguer's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market decidedly.
Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 64%. This means it has also seen a slide in earnings over the longer-term as EPS is down 70% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
In contrast to the company, the rest of the market is expected to grow by 36% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term earnings decline into perspective.
In light of this, it's alarming that Shenzhen Leaguer's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
The Bottom Line On Shenzhen Leaguer's P/E
Shares in Shenzhen Leaguer have built up some good momentum lately, which has really inflated its P/E. While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.
We've established that Shenzhen Leaguer currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its recent earnings have been in decline over the medium-term. When we see earnings heading backwards and underperforming the market forecasts, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.
Before you take the next step, you should know about the 4 warning signs for Shenzhen Leaguer (1 is significant!) that we have uncovered.
If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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