Despite an already strong run, China Life Insurance Company Limited (HKG:2628) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 32% in the last thirty days. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 28%.
After such a large jump in price, China Life Insurance's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 16.1x might make it look like a strong sell right now compared to the market in Hong Kong, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 9x and even P/E's below 5x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.
While the market has experienced earnings growth lately, China Life Insurance's earnings have gone into reverse gear, which is not great. It might be that many expect the dour earnings performance to recover substantially, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
Keen to find out how analysts think China Life Insurance's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.
Does Growth Match The High P/E?
China Life Insurance's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the market.
Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 40%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk EPS by 59% in aggregate. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 31% per year during the coming three years according to the analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 12% per year growth forecast for the broader market.
With this information, we can see why China Life Insurance is trading at such a high P/E compared to the market. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.
What We Can Learn From China Life Insurance's P/E?
The strong share price surge has got China Life Insurance's P/E rushing to great heights as well. We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
We've established that China Life Insurance maintains its high P/E on the strength of its forecast growth being higher than the wider market, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for China Life Insurance that you should be aware of.
If you're unsure about the strength of China Life Insurance's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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