Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial Group Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600887) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 28% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Notwithstanding the latest gain, the annual share price return of 9.6% isn't as impressive.
Even after such a large jump in price, Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial Group's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 15.8x might still make it look like a buy right now compared to the market in China, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 30x and even P/E's above 58x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/E.
Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial Group certainly has been doing a good job lately as its earnings growth has been positive while most other companies have been seeing their earnings go backwards. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, possibly more than the market, which has repressed the P/E. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial Group.
How Is Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial Group's Growth Trending?
Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial Group's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the market.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 21% last year. As a result, it also grew EPS by 27% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably been satisfied with the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 3.1% per year over the next three years. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 19% per annum growth forecast for the broader market.
In light of this, it's understandable that Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial Group's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.
The Final Word
Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial Group's stock might have been given a solid boost, but its P/E certainly hasn't reached any great heights. While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.
As we suspected, our examination of Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial Group's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook is contributing to its low P/E. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
The company's balance sheet is another key area for risk analysis. Take a look at our free balance sheet analysis for Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial Group with six simple checks on some of these key factors.
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.
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