The Shenwan Hongyuan Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000166) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 27%. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 32%.
Since its price has surged higher, given close to half the companies in China have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 29x, you may consider Shenwan Hongyuan Group as a stock to avoid entirely with its 48x P/E ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.
With earnings that are retreating more than the market's of late, Shenwan Hongyuan Group has been very sluggish. It might be that many expect the dismal earnings performance to recover substantially, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
Keen to find out how analysts think Shenwan Hongyuan Group's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.
Is There Enough Growth For Shenwan Hongyuan Group?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as steep as Shenwan Hongyuan Group's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market decidedly.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 5.9% decrease to the company's bottom line. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk EPS by 64% in aggregate. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 44% per annum during the coming three years according to the four analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 19% per year growth forecast for the broader market.
In light of this, it's understandable that Shenwan Hongyuan Group's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.
The Key Takeaway
Shares in Shenwan Hongyuan Group have built up some good momentum lately, which has really inflated its P/E. While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.
We've established that Shenwan Hongyuan Group maintains its high P/E on the strength of its forecast growth being higher than the wider market, as expected. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/E as they are quite confident future earnings aren't under threat. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.
A lot of potential risks can sit within a company's balance sheet. You can assess many of the main risks through our free balance sheet analysis for Shenwan Hongyuan Group with six simple checks.
You might be able to find a better investment than Shenwan Hongyuan Group. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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