Cangzhou Dahua (SHSE:600230) Could Be Struggling To Allocate Capital
Cangzhou Dahua (SHSE:600230) Could Be Struggling To Allocate Capital
If you're looking for a multi-bagger, there's a few things to keep an eye out for. One common approach is to try and find a company with returns on capital employed (ROCE) that are increasing, in conjunction with a growing amount of capital employed. If you see this, it typically means it's a company with a great business model and plenty of profitable reinvestment opportunities. In light of that, when we looked at Cangzhou Dahua (SHSE:600230) and its ROCE trend, we weren't exactly thrilled.
如果你正在寻找一个翻多股票,有一些事情需要注意。一个常见的方法是尝试找到一个资本雇员回报率(ROCE)逐渐增加的公司,同时资本雇员数量也在增长。如果你看到这一点,通常意味着这是一个拥有优秀商业模式并拥有许多有利可图的再投资机会的公司。基于这一点,在我们观察沧州大化(SHSE:600230)及其ROCE趋势时,并没有特别激动。
Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)
上面您可以看到蒙托克可再生能源现行ROCE与之前资本回报的比较,但过去只能知道这么多。如果您感兴趣,可以查看我们免费的蒙托克可再生能源分析师报告,了解分析师的预测。
For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Cangzhou Dahua:
对于那些不了解的人,ROCE是衡量公司年度税前利润(其回报)相对于业务中资本雇用的一个指标。分析师使用这个公式为沧州大化进行计算:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
资产雇用回报率(ROCE)是指企业利润,即企业税前利润除以企业投入的总资本(负债加股权)。如果ROCE高于企业财务成本的承受能力,那么企业就会创造出更多的价值。
0.023 = CN¥114m ÷ (CN¥6.2b - CN¥1.3b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2024).
0.023 = 1.14亿元人民币 ÷ (620亿元人民币 - 13亿元人民币)(基于2024年6月的最近十二个月)。
So, Cangzhou Dahua has an ROCE of 2.3%. In absolute terms, that's a low return and it also under-performs the Chemicals industry average of 5.5%.
因此,沧州大化的ROCE为2.3%。从绝对数值来看,这是一个低回报,而且它也表现不及化学品行业的平均水平为5.5%。
While the past is not representative of the future, it can be helpful to know how a company has performed historically, which is why we have this chart above. If you're interested in investigating Cangzhou Dahua's past further, check out this free graph covering Cangzhou Dahua's past earnings, revenue and cash flow.
尽管过去并不代表未来,但了解公司历史表现可能会有所帮助,这就是为什么我们在上面有这个图表。如果您有兴趣进一步调查沧州大化的过去,请查看这张免费图表,涵盖沧州大化过去的收益、营业收入和现金流。
The Trend Of ROCE
当寻找下一个倍增器时,如果您不确定从哪里开始,请关注几个关键趋势。首先,我们希望看到一个经过验证的资本使用率。如果您看到这一点,通常意味着这是一家拥有出色业务模式和大量盈利再投资机会的公司。然而,调查蒙托克可再生能源公司(NASDAQ:MNTK)后,我们认为它的现行趋势不符合倍增器的模式。
On the surface, the trend of ROCE at Cangzhou Dahua doesn't inspire confidence. Around five years ago the returns on capital were 9.1%, but since then they've fallen to 2.3%. Meanwhile, the business is utilizing more capital but this hasn't moved the needle much in terms of sales in the past 12 months, so this could reflect longer term investments. It's worth keeping an eye on the company's earnings from here on to see if these investments do end up contributing to the bottom line.
表面上看,沧州大化的资本回报率趋势并没有鼓舞人心。大约五年前,资本回报率为9.1%,但自那时以来下降到了2.3%。与此同时,企业利用了更多的资本,但在过去12个月内这并没有在销售额上有太大变化,因此这可能反映了更长期的投资。值得密切关注公司从这里起的收益,以查看这些投资是否最终会对底线产生贡献。
While on the subject, we noticed that the ratio of current liabilities to total assets has risen to 21%, which has impacted the ROCE. If current liabilities hadn't increased as much as they did, the ROCE could actually be even lower. Keep an eye on this ratio, because the business could encounter some new risks if this metric gets too high.
顺便提及,我们注意到流动负债与总资产的比率已经上升至21%,这影响了资本回报率。如果流动负债没有像现在这样增加,资本回报率实际上可能会更低。请注意这个比率,因为如果这一指标过高,业务可能会遇到一些新的风险。
Our Take On Cangzhou Dahua's ROCE
我们对沧州大化的资本回报率看法
Bringing it all together, while we're somewhat encouraged by Cangzhou Dahua's reinvestment in its own business, we're aware that returns are shrinking. Unsurprisingly, the stock has only gained 1.8% over the last five years, which potentially indicates that investors are accounting for this going forward. As a result, if you're hunting for a multi-bagger, we think you'd have more luck elsewhere.
总的来说,虽然我们在某种程度上对沧州大化对自身业务的再投资感到鼓舞,但我们意识到回报正在减少。毫不奇怪,股票在过去五年中仅上涨了1.8%,这可能表明投资者在未来考虑到了这一点。因此,如果您正在寻找一支多倍增长的股票,我们认为您可能会在别处更幸运。
Like most companies, Cangzhou Dahua does come with some risks, and we've found 2 warning signs that you should be aware of.
和大多数公司一样,沧州大化也存在一些风险,我们发现了2个警示信号,你应该注意。
For those who like to invest in solid companies, check out this free list of companies with solid balance sheets and high returns on equity.
Hao Tian International Construction Investment Group确实存在一些风险,我们已经发现了一条警示标志,你可能会感兴趣。对于那些喜欢投资于实力雄厚的公司的人,可以查看这个由财务状况强大、股本回报率高的公司组成的免费列表。
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