It's not a stretch to say that Jiangsu Expressway Company Limited's (HKG:177) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 7.6x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the market in Hong Kong, where the median P/E ratio is around 10x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/E.
With earnings growth that's superior to most other companies of late, Jiangsu Expressway has been doing relatively well. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to wane, which has kept the P/E from rising. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Jiangsu Expressway.
Does Growth Match The P/E?
The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/E like Jiangsu Expressway's is when the company's growth is tracking the market closely.
If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 6.9%. Still, EPS has barely risen at all in aggregate from three years ago, which is not ideal. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been overly satisfied with the unstable medium-term growth rates.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the six analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 4.8% per annum over the next three years. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 12% each year growth forecast for the broader market.
In light of this, it's curious that Jiangsu Expressway's P/E sits in line with the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as this level of earnings growth is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.
The Bottom Line On Jiangsu Expressway's P/E
We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
We've established that Jiangsu Expressway currently trades on a higher than expected P/E since its forecast growth is lower than the wider market. Right now we are uncomfortable with the P/E as the predicted future earnings aren't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Unless these conditions improve, it's challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Jiangsu Expressway that you should be aware of.
You might be able to find a better investment than Jiangsu Expressway. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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