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Shareholders in HK Electric Investments and HK Electric Investments (HKG:2638) Are in the Red If They Invested Three Years Ago

Shareholders in HK Electric Investments and HK Electric Investments (HKG:2638) Are in the Red If They Invested Three Years Ago

如果三年前投资者投资于港灯-ss(HKG:2638),他们将亏损。
Simply Wall St ·  10/01 11:23

As an investor its worth striving to ensure your overall portfolio beats the market average. But the risk of stock picking is that you will likely buy under-performing companies. Unfortunately, that's been the case for longer term HK Electric Investments and HK Electric Investments Limited (HKG:2638) shareholders, since the share price is down 31% in the last three years, falling well short of the market decline of around 1.2%.

作为投资者,值得努力确保您的整体投资组合能超过市场平均水平。但股票选择的风险在于您可能会买入表现不佳的公司。不幸的是,对于长期持有港灯-ss(HKG:2638)股票的股东们来说,过去三年股价下跌了31%,远远低于市场跌幅约1.2%。

Now let's have a look at the company's fundamentals, and see if the long term shareholder return has matched the performance of the underlying business.

现在让我们看看这家公司的基本面,看看长期股东回报是否与基础业务的表现相匹配。

While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

尽管一些人继续教授有效市场假说,但已经证明市场是过度反应的动态系统,并且投资者并不总是理性的。通过比较每股收益(EPS)和股价的变化情况,我们可以了解投资者对公司的态度如何随着时间变化而变化。

Although the share price is down over three years, HK Electric Investments and HK Electric Investments actually managed to grow EPS by 3.7% per year in that time. Given the share price reaction, one might suspect that EPS is not a good guide to the business performance during the period (perhaps due to a one-off loss or gain). Or else the company was over-hyped in the past, and so its growth has disappointed.

尽管股价在过去三年下跌,港灯-ss实际上在这段时间内每年成功增长了3.7%的每股收益。鉴于股价的反应,人们可能怀疑每股收益不是在此期间业务表现的良好指标(可能是由于一次性损益)。或者公司在过去被过度炒作,因此其增长令人失望。

It looks to us like the market was probably too optimistic around growth three years ago. However, taking a look at other business metrics might shed a bit more light on the share price action.

在我们看来,市场可能会过于乐观地看待三年前的增长。但是,审视其他业务指标可能会对股价行动产生更多的启示。

We note that the dividend seems healthy enough, so that probably doesn't explain the share price drop. HK Electric Investments and HK Electric Investments has maintained its top line over three years, so we doubt that has shareholders worried. So it might be worth looking at how revenue growth over time, in greater detail.

我们注意到分红派息看起来足够健康,这可能并不解释股价下跌。港灯-ss在过去三年内保持了其营收水平,因此我们怀疑这是否让股东们担忧。因此值得更详细地看看随时间变化的营业收入增长情况。

You can see below how earnings and revenue have changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

您可以看到以下收益和营收的变化情况(通过单击图像了解精确值)。

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SEHK:2638 Earnings and Revenue Growth October 1st 2024
SEHK:2638收益和营业收入增长2024年10月1日

If you are thinking of buying or selling HK Electric Investments and HK Electric Investments stock, you should check out this FREE detailed report on its balance sheet.

如果您考虑购买或卖出港灯-ss股票,您应该查看这份关于其资产负债表的免费详细报告。

What About Dividends?

那么分红怎么样呢?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. We note that for HK Electric Investments and HK Electric Investments the TSR over the last 3 years was -18%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

在考虑投资回报时,重要的是要考虑总股东回报(TSR)与股价回报之间的差异。 TSR是一个考虑现金分红价值(假设任何已收到的股息是再投资的)以及任何折扣资本增募和分拆计算价值的回报计算。可以说TSR提供了付息股票更全面的图片。我们注意到,对于港灯-ss,过去3年的TSR为-18%,这比上面提到的股价回报好。这在很大程度上是由其分红支付所导致的!

A Different Perspective

不同的观点

It's good to see that HK Electric Investments and HK Electric Investments has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 25% in the last twelve months. Of course, that includes the dividend. There's no doubt those recent returns are much better than the TSR loss of 1.5% per year over five years. This makes us a little wary, but the business might have turned around its fortunes. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. To that end, you should learn about the 2 warning signs we've spotted with HK Electric Investments and HK Electric Investments (including 1 which is a bit concerning) .

很高兴看到港灯-ss已经在过去十二个月里为股东回报了总股东回报率达25%。当然,这包括了分红派息。 毫无疑问,最近的回报要比过去五年每年1.5%的总股东回报率损失好得多。这让我们有点担忧,但这家企业可能已经扭转了命运。 我觉得长期关注股价作为业务表现的一种替代方法非常有趣。但为了真正获得洞察,我们也需要考虑其他信息。为此,您应该了解我们发现的港灯-ss存在的2个警示信号(其中有一个有点令人担忧)。

For those who like to find winning investments this free list of undervalued companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.

对于那些喜欢寻找获胜投资的人来说,最近有内部购买的低估公司免费列表可能是一个很好的选择。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Hong Kong exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了当前在香港证券交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。

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