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Shanghai Kaichuang Marine International Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:600097) Financials Are Too Obscure To Link With Current Share Price Momentum: What's In Store For the Stock?

Shanghai Kaichuang Marine International Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:600097) Financials Are Too Obscure To Link With Current Share Price Momentum: What's In Store For the Stock?

开创国际海洋有限公司(SHSE:600097)的财务信息过于晦涩,难以与当前股价势头联系起来:该股的未来会怎样?
Simply Wall St ·  09/30 23:55

Shanghai Kaichuang Marine International (SHSE:600097) has had a great run on the share market with its stock up by a significant 20% over the last week. But the company's key financial indicators appear to be differing across the board and that makes us question whether or not the company's current share price momentum can be maintained. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Shanghai Kaichuang Marine International's ROE today.

开创国际(SHSE:600097)股票在股市上表现强劲,股价在上周大幅上涨了20%。但该公司的关键财务指标似乎存在分歧,这让我们对公司目前的股价势头能否持续产生了质疑。特别是,我们将关注开创国际今日的roe。

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. In short, ROE shows the profit each dollar generates with respect to its shareholder investments.

股东必须考虑股本回报率或ROE,因为它告诉他们公司如何有效地重新投资他们的资本。 简而言之,ROE显示每美元股东投资所产生的利润。

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

如何计算股东权益报酬率?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

股东权益报酬率可以使用以下公式计算:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

净资产收益率 = 净利润(从持续经营中获得)÷ 股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Shanghai Kaichuang Marine International is:

因此,根据上述公式,开创国际的roe为:

7.7% = CN¥170m ÷ CN¥2.2b (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2024).

7.7% = 1.7亿元人民币 ÷ 220亿元人民币(基于过去12个月至2024年6月的数据)。

The 'return' refers to a company's earnings over the last year. One way to conceptualize this is that for each CN¥1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made CN¥0.08 in profit.

“回报”是指公司在过去一年内的收益。可以这样理解,对于每1元股东资本,公司的盈利为0.08元人民币。

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

ROE为什么对净利润增长很重要?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don't share these attributes.

我们已经确定,ROE是公司未来赚钱能力的有效衡量标准。现在我们需要评估公司为未来增长而再投资或“保留”的利润。这样,我们就能了解公司的增长潜力。一般而言,在其他条件相等的情况下,具有高净资产收益率和利润保留率的公司,比那些不具备这些特点的公司有更高的增长率。

Shanghai Kaichuang Marine International's Earnings Growth And 7.7% ROE

上海开创国际的收益增长和7.7%的roe

On the face of it, Shanghai Kaichuang Marine International's ROE is not much to talk about. However, given that the company's ROE is similar to the average industry ROE of 8.0%, we may spare it some thought. But Shanghai Kaichuang Marine International saw a five year net income decline of 8.8% over the past five years. Remember, the company's ROE is a bit low to begin with. So that's what might be causing earnings growth to shrink.

从表面上看,上海开创国际的roe没有太多可谈的。然而,考虑到公司的roe与8.0%的行业平均roe相似,我们可能要认真考虑一下。但是,上海开创国际在过去五年中净利润下降了8.8%。请记住,公司的roe起初就有点低。这可能是导致收益增长收缩的原因。

So, as a next step, we compared Shanghai Kaichuang Marine International's performance against the industry and were disappointed to discover that while the company has been shrinking its earnings, the industry has been growing its earnings at a rate of 1.6% over the last few years.

所以,作为下一步,我们比较了上海开创国际与行业的表现,遗憾地发现,虽然公司一直在收缩其收益,但行业过去几年的增长率达到1.6%。

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SHSE:600097 Past Earnings Growth October 1st 2024
SHSE:600097 过往盈利增长 2024年10月1日

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. Is Shanghai Kaichuang Marine International fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

收益增长是考量股票价值的重要指标。投资者需要判断的是预期收益增长,或其缺乏,是否已经融入股价中。这有助于他们判断股票是面临光明未来还是暗淡前景。与其他公司相比,上海开创国际的估值是否合理?这3个估值指标可能会帮助你做出决定。

Is Shanghai Kaichuang Marine International Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

上海开创国际是否有效地利用其利润?

Despite having a normal three-year median payout ratio of 31% (where it is retaining 69% of its profits), Shanghai Kaichuang Marine International has seen a decline in earnings as we saw above. It looks like there might be some other reasons to explain the lack in that respect. For example, the business could be in decline.

尽管上海开创国际的正常三年中位数分红比率为31%(保留其利润的69%),但如上所述,其盈利出现下降。看起来可能还有其他原因可以解释这种情况。例如,业务可能正在衰退。

Moreover, Shanghai Kaichuang Marine International has been paying dividends for at least ten years or more suggesting that management must have perceived that the shareholders prefer dividends over earnings growth.

此外,上海开创国际至少已经连续十年支付股息,这表明管理层认为股东更倾向于股息而不是盈利增长。

Summary

总的来说,我们对伟明环保的表现非常满意。具体而言,我们喜欢公司以高回报率再投资了其利润的很大一部分。当然,这导致公司的收益大幅增长。但是,最新的行业分析师预测表明,该公司的收益预计将加速增长。

On the whole, we feel that the performance shown by Shanghai Kaichuang Marine International can be open to many interpretations. While the company does have a high rate of reinvestment, the low ROE means that all that reinvestment is not reaping any benefit to its investors, and moreover, its having a negative impact on the earnings growth. Wrapping up, we would proceed with caution with this company and one way of doing that would be to look at the risk profile of the business. You can see the 3 risks we have identified for Shanghai Kaichuang Marine International by visiting our risks dashboard for free on our platform here.

总的来说,我们认为开创国际的业绩可能会有很多种解读。虽然公司的再投资率很高,但较低的roe意味着所有再投资并没有给投资者带来任何好处,而且对盈利增长产生了负面影响。总结一下,我们将谨慎对待这家公司,其中一种方法是查看其业务的风险配置文件。您可以免费访问我们平台上的风险管理仪表板,了解我们为开创国际确定的3个风险。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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