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Is Ciwen MediaLtd (SZSE:002343) Using Debt In A Risky Way?

Is Ciwen MediaLtd (SZSE:002343) Using Debt In A Risky Way?

Ciwen MediaLtd(SZSE:002343)是否在冒险地使用债务?
Simply Wall St ·  10/01 00:22

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, Ciwen Media Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:002343) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

沃伦·巴菲特曾经说过,“波动性与风险远非同义词。” 当我们考虑一家公司有多大风险时,我们总是喜欢看它的负债使用情况,因为负债过多可能会导致破产。重要的是,慈文传媒股份有限公司(SZSE:002343)确实有债务。但股东们是否应该担心它的债务使用呢?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

债务何时有危险?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

债务是帮助企业增长的工具,但如果企业无法偿还债权人的款项,那么就面临业主的垂青。如果公司不能履行法律义务偿还债务,股东最终可能一无所获。 不过,还有一种更常见但仍然痛苦的情况是,它必须以低价筹集新的股本资金,从而永久稀释股东的权益。尽管如此,最常见的情况是公司合理管理其债务,并从中获得利益。 因此,当我们考虑一个公司的债务使用情况时,我们首先要看现金和债务的总和。

How Much Debt Does Ciwen MediaLtd Carry?

慈文传媒有多少债务?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of June 2024 Ciwen MediaLtd had CN¥104.4m of debt, an increase on CN¥28.3m, over one year. But on the other hand it also has CN¥153.0m in cash, leading to a CN¥48.6m net cash position.

您可以点击下方的图表查看历史数据,截至2024年6月,慈文传媒负债10440万元人民币,比去年增加了2830万元人民币。 另一方面,它也有15300万元人民币的现金,形成了4860万元人民币的净现金头寸。

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SZSE:002343 Debt to Equity History October 1st 2024
SZSE:002343债务与股权历史记录,2024年10月1日

How Strong Is Ciwen MediaLtd's Balance Sheet?

慈文传媒有多强的资产负债表?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Ciwen MediaLtd had liabilities of CN¥411.6m falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥3.61m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥153.0m and CN¥170.1m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥92.0m.

我们可以从最近的资产负债表看出,慈文传媒有长期负债约41160万人民币,短期负债361万人民币。相反,其现金为15300万人民币,应收账款为17010万人民币。因此,其负债超过现金和(短期)应收账款的总和9200万人民币。

Given Ciwen MediaLtd has a market capitalization of CN¥3.95b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Ciwen MediaLtd also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Ciwen MediaLtd can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

考虑到慈文传媒的市值为39.5亿人民币,很难相信这些负债会构成很大威胁。但我们认为值得关注其资产负债表的强度,因为它可能随时间而变化。虽然它确实有值得注意的负债,但慈文传媒的现金多于债务,所以我们相当有信心它可以安全管理债务。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是明显的起点。但最终业务的未来盈利将决定慈文传媒是否能够随时间加强其资产负债表。所以,如果您关注未来,可以查看这份免费报告,显示分析师的盈利预测。

In the last year Ciwen MediaLtd had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 86%, to CN¥71m. To be frank that doesn't bode well.

在过去一年中,慈文传媒的利息和税前亏损,实际上使其营业收入减少了86%,至7100万人民币。坦率地说,这不是一个好兆头。

So How Risky Is Ciwen MediaLtd?

那么慈文传媒有多大风险?

Although Ciwen MediaLtd had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last twelve months, it made a statutory profit of CN¥16m. So taking that on face value, and considering the cash, we don't think its very risky in the near term. Until we see some positive EBIT, we're a bit cautious of the stock, not least because of the rather modest revenue growth. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Ciwen MediaLtd that you should be aware of.

尽管慈文传媒在过去十二个月中利息和税前亏损,但它实现了1600万人民币的法定利润。因此,仅凭这一面值来看,考虑到现金,我们认为在短期内并不太危险。在看到一些积极的EBIt之前,我们对股票有些谨慎,尤其是因为收入增长相当有限。资产负债表显然是分析债务时要关注的领域。但并不是所有的投资风险都存在于资产负债表中,相反,我们已经发现了值得注意的2个慈文传媒警告信号。

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

当然,如果您是那种喜欢购买没有债务负担的股票的投资者,那么不要犹豫,立即发现我们独家的净现金增长股票列表。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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