Is Arcplus Group (SHSE:600629) Using Too Much Debt?
Is Arcplus Group (SHSE:600629) Using Too Much Debt?
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Arcplus Group PLC (SHSE:600629) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
伯克希尔哈撒韦的查理·芒格支持的外部基金经理李录(Li Lu)直言不讳地表示:“最大的投资风险不在于价格的波动,而在于您是否会遭受永久性的资本损失。” 因此,显然您需要考虑债务,当您考虑任何给定股票的风险时,因为过多的债务可能会拖垮一家公司。 重要的是,华建集团(SHSE:600629)的确负债。 但更重要的问题是:这笔债务会带来多少风险?
When Is Debt A Problem?
什么时候负债才是一个问题?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
当企业无法通过自由现金流或以有吸引力的价格增资来轻松履行债务时,债务和其他负债对企业具有风险性。最终,如果公司无法履行法定还债义务,股东可能会一无所有。然而,更频繁(但仍然昂贵)的情况是,为了强化其财务状况,公司必须以折价的价格发行股份,从而永久性稀释股东的利益。当然,有许多公司使用债务来资助其增长,没有任何负面后果。考虑企业使用了多少债务时的第一步是查看其现金和债务的总额。
What Is Arcplus Group's Debt?
华建集团的债务是什么?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at June 2024 Arcplus Group had debt of CN¥258.2m, up from CN¥209.9m in one year. But it also has CN¥2.69b in cash to offset that, meaning it has CN¥2.43b net cash.
下面的图片(您可以点击查看更详细信息)显示,截至2024年6月,华建集团的债务为2.582亿元人民币,比一年前的2.099亿元人民币增加。 但它也有26.9亿元人民币的现金来抵消,意味着净现金为24.3亿元人民币。
How Healthy Is Arcplus Group's Balance Sheet?
华建集团的资产负债表状况如何?
The latest balance sheet data shows that Arcplus Group had liabilities of CN¥8.70b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥960.6m falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥2.69b in cash and CN¥5.09b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥1.88b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
最新的资产负债表数据显示,华建集团有87亿人民币的短期负债,96060万人民币的逾期负债。相对应的,公司拥有26.9亿人民币的现金和50.9亿人民币的应收账款,这些应收账款需在12个月内到期。因此,公司的负债总额比其现金和短期应收款项多出18.8亿人民币。
This deficit isn't so bad because Arcplus Group is worth CN¥5.12b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, Arcplus Group boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!
这个赤字并不严重,因为华建集团价值51.2亿人民币,因此可能能够筹集足够资金支持其资产负债表,如果有需要的话。但很明显,我们应该密切关注它是否能够管理好债务而不发生股权摊薄。尽管负债可观,华建集团拥有净现金,所以可以说并没有沉重的债务负担!
Fortunately, Arcplus Group grew its EBIT by 9.6% in the last year, making that debt load look even more manageable. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Arcplus Group can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
幸运的是,华建集团上一年的EBIT增长了9.6%,使得债务负担看起来更容易管理。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是显而易见的起始点。但最终业务未来的盈利能力将决定华建集团是否能够随着时间加强其资产负债表。所以,如果您专注于未来,可以查看这份分析师盈利预测的免费报告。
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. Arcplus Group may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Over the last three years, Arcplus Group recorded free cash flow worth a fulsome 94% of its EBIT, which is stronger than we'd usually expect. That positions it well to pay down debt if desirable to do so.
但我们最后的考虑也很重要,因为一家公司不能用虚拟利润来偿还债务;它需要实实在在的现金。华建集团可能在资产负债表上有净现金,但观察业务如何将息税前利润(EBIT)转化为自由现金流仍然很有趣,因为这将影响其对债务的需求和能力以及管理债务。过去三年中,华建集团实现的自由现金流价值相当于其EBIT的94%,这比我们通常预期的要强。这将使其有很好的能力偿还债务如果有需要的话。
Summing Up
总之
While Arcplus Group does have more liabilities than liquid assets, it also has net cash of CN¥2.43b. And it impressed us with free cash flow of CN¥282m, being 94% of its EBIT. So we don't think Arcplus Group's use of debt is risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Arcplus Group that you should be aware of.
尽管华建集团的负债比流动资产更多,但其净现金达到了24.3亿元人民币。并且其自由现金流达到了2,8200万人民币,相当于其EBIt的94%。因此,我们认为华建集团的债务使用并不冒险。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是显而易见的起点。然而,并非所有的投资风险都存在于资产负债表之内 - 远非如此。例如,我们已经确定了华建集团存在2个警告信号,您应该注意。
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
说到底,有时候更容易集中精力关注根本不需要债务的公司。读者可以免费访问零净债务增长股票列表。
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
对本文有任何反馈?对内容有任何疑虑?请直接与我们联系。或者,发送电子邮件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。