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Is Inner Mongolia Xingye Silver &Tin MiningLtd (SZSE:000426) A Risky Investment?

Is Inner Mongolia Xingye Silver &Tin MiningLtd (SZSE:000426) A Risky Investment?

内蒙古兴业白银锡业股份有限公司(SZSE:000426)是一项风险投资吗?
Simply Wall St ·  10/01 02:48

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that Inner Mongolia Xingye Silver &Tin Mining Co.,Ltd (SZSE:000426) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

沃伦·巴菲特曾经说过,“波动性远非风险的代名词”。因此,明智的资金都知道,债务——通常伴随着破产——是评估公司风险程度时的一个非常重要因素。我们注意到内蒙古兴业白银锡业股份有限公司 (SZSE:000426) 资产负债表上确实有债务。但更重要的问题是:这些债务带来了多少风险?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

为什么债务会带来风险?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

债务是帮助企业成长的工具,但如果一个企业无法偿还其债权人的债务,那么它就要向他们低头。在最坏的情况下,如果企业无法偿还其债权人的债务,那么它就会破产。然而,更常见的情况是企业必须以低于市价的价格发行股份,以永久性稀释股东权益,从而巩固其资产负债表。当然,债务的好处是它通常代表着廉价的资本,特别是当它代替了一个公司的稀释,使得该公司能够以高回报率再投资时。在我们考虑债务水平时,首先考虑现金和债务水平,并加以综合考虑。

What Is Inner Mongolia Xingye Silver &Tin MiningLtd's Net Debt?

内蒙古兴业白银锡业股份有限公司的净债务是多少?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of June 2024 Inner Mongolia Xingye Silver &Tin MiningLtd had CN¥1.80b of debt, an increase on CN¥1.64b, over one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of CN¥792.9m, its net debt is less, at about CN¥1.00b.

您可以点击下方的图表查看历史数据,截至2024年6月,内蒙古兴业白银锡业股份有限公司的债务为18亿元人民币,较一年前的16.4亿元人民币有所增加。然而,由于其有7929万元人民币的现金储备,其净债务较少,约为10亿元人民币。

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SZSE:000426 Debt to Equity History October 1st 2024
SZSE:000426 2024年10月1日的资产负债历史记录

A Look At Inner Mongolia Xingye Silver &Tin MiningLtd's Liabilities

内蒙古兴业银锡矿业有限公司负债情况一览

The latest balance sheet data shows that Inner Mongolia Xingye Silver &Tin MiningLtd had liabilities of CN¥2.77b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥1.21b falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥792.9m as well as receivables valued at CN¥194.4m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CN¥2.99b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

最新资产负债表数据显示,内蒙古兴业银锡矿业有限公司的短期到期负债为27.7亿元人民币,之后到期的负债为12.1亿元人民币。 抵消这些义务的是,它持有7.929亿元人民币的现金以及124.4亿元人民币的应收账款,其中有12个月内到期的。因此,它的负债总额比其现金和短期应收账款的总和高出29.9亿元人民币。

Given Inner Mongolia Xingye Silver &Tin MiningLtd has a market capitalization of CN¥24.5b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward.

鉴于内蒙古兴业银锡矿业有限公司市值为245亿元人民币,很难相信这些负债会构成太大威胁。 但是有足够的负债,我们肯定会建议股东继续关注资产负债表的变化。

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

我们通过将公司的净债务与其息税折旧摊销前利润(EBITDA)相除,并计算其息税前利润(EBIT)如何覆盖其利息费用(利息覆盖率)来衡量公司的债务负担相对于其盈利能力。因此,我们同时考虑债务的绝对数量以及所支付的利率。

Inner Mongolia Xingye Silver &Tin MiningLtd has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 0.37. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 17.8 times over. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. Even more impressive was the fact that Inner Mongolia Xingye Silver &Tin MiningLtd grew its EBIT by 360% over twelve months. If maintained that growth will make the debt even more manageable in the years ahead. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Inner Mongolia Xingye Silver &Tin MiningLtd's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

内蒙古兴业银锡矿业有限公司的净债务与EBITDA比率仅为0.37。 其EBIT覆盖利息费用高达17.8倍。 因此,我们对其超保守的债务使用感到非常放心。更令人印象深刻的是,内蒙古兴业银锡矿业有限公司过去12个月增长了360%的EBIT。 如果能保持这种增长,未来几年债务更加可控。 在分析债务时,资产负债表显然是关注的重点领域。 但更重要的是,未来收益将决定内蒙古兴业银锡矿业有限公司能否保持健康的资产负债表。 因此,如果您想知道专业人士的看法,您可能会发现这份关于分析师利润预测的免费报告很有趣。

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, Inner Mongolia Xingye Silver &Tin MiningLtd recorded free cash flow worth 68% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

最后,一个企业需要自由现金流来偿还债务;会计利润无法胜任。所以值得检查企业EBIt中有多少是由自由现金流支持的。在过去最近的三年中,内蒙古杏业银锡矿业股份有限公司的自由现金流价值相当于其EBIt的68%,这在正常范围内,因为自由现金流不包括利息和税收。这笔自由现金流使该公司有能力在适当时期偿还债务。

Our View

我们的观点

Inner Mongolia Xingye Silver &Tin MiningLtd's interest cover suggests it can handle its debt as easily as Cristiano Ronaldo could score a goal against an under 14's goalkeeper. And the good news does not stop there, as its EBIT growth rate also supports that impression! Overall, we don't think Inner Mongolia Xingye Silver &Tin MiningLtd is taking any bad risks, as its debt load seems modest. So the balance sheet looks pretty healthy, to us. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example - Inner Mongolia Xingye Silver &Tin MiningLtd has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

内蒙古杏业银锡矿业股份有限公司的利率期货表明它能够轻松处理债务,就像克里斯蒂亚诺·罗纳尔多对付14岁以下门将一样容易进球。好消息还不止这些,因为其EBIt增长率也支持这一印象!总的来说,我们认为内蒙古杏业银锡矿业股份有限公司没有承担任何不良风险,因为其债务负担似乎很适中。因此,我们认为资产负债表看起来相当健康。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表上学到了很多关于债务的知识。但最终,每家公司都可能存在超出资产负债表之外的风险。例如 - 内蒙古杏业银锡矿业股份有限公司有 1 个警告信号,我们认为您应该注意。

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

说到底,有时候更容易集中精力关注根本不需要债务的公司。读者可以免费访问零净债务增长股票列表。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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