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Sinomach General Machinery Science & Technology Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:600444) Stock Is Going Strong But Fundamentals Look Uncertain: What Lies Ahead ?

Sinomach General Machinery Science & Technology Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:600444) Stock Is Going Strong But Fundamentals Look Uncertain: What Lies Ahead ?

中国机械通用科技股份有限公司(SHSE:600444)股价表现强劲,但基本面不确定:未来走势如何?
Simply Wall St ·  10/01 15:23

Sinomach General Machinery Science & TechnologyLtd's (SHSE:600444) stock is up by a considerable 25% over the past month. However, we decided to pay attention to the company's fundamentals which don't appear to give a clear sign about the company's financial health. Specifically, we decided to study Sinomach General Machinery Science & TechnologyLtd's ROE in this article.

中机通用机械科技有限公司(SHSE:600444)的股票在过去一个月内上涨了相当多的25%。然而,我们决定关注公司的基本面,这并没有提供关于公司财务健康状况的明确迹象。具体来说,我们决定在本文中研究中机通用机械科技有限公司的roe。

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. Simply put, it is used to assess the profitability of a company in relation to its equity capital.

股本回报率或ROE是一项用于评估公司管理层如何利用公司资本的效率的关键指标。简而言之,它用于评估公司相对于其股本资本的盈利能力。

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

如何计算股东权益报酬率?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

净资产收益率可以使用以下公式进行计算:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

净资产收益率 = 净利润(从持续经营中获得)÷ 股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Sinomach General Machinery Science & TechnologyLtd is:

因此,根据上述公式,中机通用机械科技有限公司的roe为:

6.2% = CN¥43m ÷ CN¥691m (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2024).

6.2% = 4.3亿元人民币 ÷ 6.91亿元人民币(截至2024年6月的过去十二个月)。

The 'return' refers to a company's earnings over the last year. One way to conceptualize this is that for each CN¥1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made CN¥0.06 in profit.

‘收益’指的是公司过去一年的收入。可以从另一个角度来理解,对于每1元人民币的股东资本,该公司将获得0.06元人民币的利润。

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

roe与盈利增长有何关系?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company's earnings growth potential. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

到目前为止,我们已经学到 ROE(净资产收益率)可以衡量公司盈利的效率。具体取决于公司再投资或“保留”多少这些利润,以及其有效程度,我们便能够评估公司的盈利增长潜力。假设其他条件相同,ROE和利润保留率都较高的公司通常比不具备这些特征的公司增长率更高。

A Side By Side comparison of Sinomach General Machinery Science & TechnologyLtd's Earnings Growth And 6.2% ROE

中国机械工程科技股份有限公司的利润增长和6.2%的roe的并排比较

On the face of it, Sinomach General Machinery Science & TechnologyLtd's ROE is not much to talk about. However, given that the company's ROE is similar to the average industry ROE of 7.2%, we may spare it some thought. But Sinomach General Machinery Science & TechnologyLtd saw a five year net income decline of 4.7% over the past five years. Remember, the company's ROE is a bit low to begin with. Hence, this goes some way in explaining the shrinking earnings.

乍一看,中国机械工程科技股份有限公司的roe并不值得一提。然而,考虑到公司的roe与平均行业roe相似,我们可能需要多考虑一下。但中国机械工程科技股份有限公司在过去五年内净利润下降了4.7%。请记住,公司的roe本来就有点低。因此,这在一定程度上解释了收益的缩水。

So, as a next step, we compared Sinomach General Machinery Science & TechnologyLtd's performance against the industry and were disappointed to discover that while the company has been shrinking its earnings, the industry has been growing its earnings at a rate of 2.5% over the last few years.

因此,作为下一个步骤,我们将中国机械工程科技股份有限公司的表现与行业进行了比较,令人失望的是,尽管公司一直在减少其收益,但行业在过去几年里以2.5%的速度增长其收益。

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SHSE:600444 Past Earnings Growth October 1st 2024
SHSE:600444 2024年10月1日过去的盈利增长

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. Is Sinomach General Machinery Science & TechnologyLtd fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

盈利增长是估值股票时要考虑的重要指标。投资者应该尝试确定市场是否已经反映了预期的收益增长或下降,通过这样做,他们就可以大概了解股票是买入还是卖出。这样他们就能知道股票是走向清澈的海水还是等待着泥泞的水域。与其他公司相比,中机重工科技股份有限公司是否被合理估值?这3个估值指标可能会帮助您做出决定。

Is Sinomach General Machinery Science & TechnologyLtd Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

中机重工科技股份有限公司是否高效利用其利润?

In spite of a normal three-year median payout ratio of 39% (that is, a retention ratio of 61%), the fact that Sinomach General Machinery Science & TechnologyLtd's earnings have shrunk is quite puzzling. So there could be some other explanations in that regard. For instance, the company's business may be deteriorating.

尽管中机重工科技股份有限公司的正常三年中位数分红比率为39%(即留存比率为61%),但该公司的净利润缩水令人困惑。因此,在这方面可能有一些其他解释。例如,公司的业务可能正在恶化。

Additionally, Sinomach General Machinery Science & TechnologyLtd has paid dividends over a period of five years, which means that the company's management is rather focused on keeping up its dividend payments, regardless of the shrinking earnings.

此外,中机重工科技股份有限公司在过去五年内支付了股息,这意味着公司管理层更关注维持股息支付,而不是关注萎缩的利润。

Conclusion

结论

On the whole, we feel that the performance shown by Sinomach General Machinery Science & TechnologyLtd can be open to many interpretations. While the company does have a high rate of reinvestment, the low ROE means that all that reinvestment is not reaping any benefit to its investors, and moreover, its having a negative impact on the earnings growth. Wrapping up, we would proceed with caution with this company and one way of doing that would be to look at the risk profile of the business. To know the 4 risks we have identified for Sinomach General Machinery Science & TechnologyLtd visit our risks dashboard for free.

总的来说,我们认为中机通用机械科技股份有限公司的业绩可以有多种解读。虽然该公司具有较高的再投资率,但低roe意味着所有的再投资并未给投资者带来任何益处,而且对收益增长产生了负面影响。总结起来,我们将谨慎对待这家公司,而一种方法是查看该业务的风险概况。要了解我们为中机通用机械科技股份有限公司确定的4种风险,请免费访问我们的风险仪表板。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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