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Qinghai Jinrui Mineral Development (SHSE:600714) Investors Are up 19% in the Past Week, but Earnings Have Declined Over the Last Five Years

Qinghai Jinrui Mineral Development (SHSE:600714) Investors Are up 19% in the Past Week, but Earnings Have Declined Over the Last Five Years

金瑞矿业(SHSE:600714)投资者过去一周上涨了19%,但过去五年收益下降了。
Simply Wall St ·  10/01 03:48

Generally speaking the aim of active stock picking is to find companies that provide returns that are superior to the market average. And while active stock picking involves risks (and requires diversification) it can also provide excess returns. For example, the Qinghai Jinrui Mineral Development Co., Ltd (SHSE:600714) share price is up 41% in the last 5 years, clearly besting the market return of around 18% (ignoring dividends).

一般来说,积极选股的目的是找到提供超过市场平均回报的公司。尽管积极选股涉及风险(需要分散投资),但也可能带来额外的回报。例如,金瑞矿业(SHSE:600714)股价在过去5年上涨了41%,明显优于市场回报约18%(不考虑股息)。

The past week has proven to be lucrative for Qinghai Jinrui Mineral Development investors, so let's see if fundamentals drove the company's five-year performance.

过去的一周对于金瑞矿业的投资者来说是有利可图的,让我们看看是什么基本因素推动了该公司的五年表现。

Given that Qinghai Jinrui Mineral Development only made minimal earnings in the last twelve months, we'll focus on revenue to gauge its business development. Generally speaking, we'd consider a stock like this alongside loss-making companies, simply because the quantum of the profit is so low. For shareholders to have confidence a company will grow profits significantly, it must grow revenue.

考虑到金瑞矿业在过去12个月中仅获得了微薄的利润,我们将专注于营业收入来评估其业务发展。一般来说,我们会将这样的股票与亏损公司一起考虑,这仅仅是因为利润量如此之低。股东要对公司会显著增长利润有信心,公司必须增加营业收入。

In the last 5 years Qinghai Jinrui Mineral Development saw its revenue grow at 15% per year. That's a pretty good long term growth rate. While the share price has beat the market, compounding at 7% yearly, over five years, there's certainly some potential that the market hasn't fully considered the growth track record. The key question is whether revenue growth will slow down, and if so, how quickly. Lack of earnings means you have to project further into the future justify the valuation on the basis of future free cash flow.

在过去的5年里,金瑞矿业每年的营业收入增长率为15%。这是一个相当不错的长期增长率。虽然股价超过了市场,在过去五年中以年均7%的速度复利增长,但市场尚未完全考虑到其增长记录,肯定存在一些潜力。关键问题是,营业收入增长是否会放缓,如果是,放缓速度如何。缺乏盈利意味着您必须进一步预测未来,以未来的自由现金流为基础来证明估值的合理性。

The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

下图显示了收益和营收随时间变化的情况(如果你点击图像,可以看到更多细节):

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SHSE:600714 Earnings and Revenue Growth October 1st 2024
SHSE:600714 2024年10月1日收入和盈利增长

It's probably worth noting that the CEO is paid less than the median at similar sized companies. But while CEO remuneration is always worth checking, the really important question is whether the company can grow earnings going forward. It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on Qinghai Jinrui Mineral Development's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

值得注意的是,这家公司的CEO的薪酬低于类似规模公司的中位数。但是CEO的薪酬虽然值得关注,但真正重要的问题是这家公司未来是否能够增长收益。查看我们的有关青海金瑞矿业收益、营业收入和自由现金流的免费报告可能非常值得一看。

A Different Perspective

不同的观点

While the broader market gained around 3.3% in the last year, Qinghai Jinrui Mineral Development shareholders lost 7.9% (even including dividends). However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. On the bright side, long term shareholders have made money, with a gain of 7% per year over half a decade. It could be that the recent sell-off is an opportunity, so it may be worth checking the fundamental data for signs of a long term growth trend. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. To that end, you should learn about the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Qinghai Jinrui Mineral Development (including 1 which is significant) .

尽管广泛市场在过去一年内上涨约3.3%,青海金瑞矿业的股东亏损了7.9%(包括分红)。但请记住,即使最好的股票有时也会在十二个月的时间内表现不佳。从积极的一面来看,长期股东已经赚了钱,在过去半个世纪每年增长7%。最近的抛售可能是一个机会,因此也许值得查看基本数据以寻找长期增长趋势的迹象。我发现长期股价作为业绩的一种替代指标非常有趣。但为了真正获得洞察力,我们还需要考虑其他信息。为此,您应该了解我们在青海金瑞矿业发现的2个警示标志(其中1个是重要的)。

For those who like to find winning investments this free list of undervalued companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.

对于那些喜欢寻找获胜投资的人来说,最近有内部购买的低估公司免费列表可能是一个很好的选择。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所上市的股票的市场加权平均回报。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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