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Declining Stock and Solid Fundamentals: Is The Market Wrong About Microchip Technology Incorporated (NASDAQ:MCHP)?

Declining Stock and Solid Fundamentals: Is The Market Wrong About Microchip Technology Incorporated (NASDAQ:MCHP)?

股票下跌,基本面稳固:市场对微芯科技公司(纳斯达克:MCHP)是否判断错误?
Simply Wall St ·  10/01 06:18

With its stock down 13% over the past three months, it is easy to disregard Microchip Technology (NASDAQ:MCHP). But if you pay close attention, you might gather that its strong financials could mean that the stock could potentially see an increase in value in the long-term, given how markets usually reward companies with good financial health. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Microchip Technology's ROE today.

股价在过去三个月下跌了13%,很容易忽视微芯科技(纳斯达克:MCHP)。 但是如果您仔细观察,您可能会发现它强大的财务状况意味着股票在长期内有可能价值会上涨,因为市场通常会奖励财务状况良好的公司。特别是,我们今天将关注微芯科技的roe。

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. Simply put, it is used to assess the profitability of a company in relation to its equity capital.

股东应考虑的重要因素是净资产收益率或roe,因为它告诉他们投资的资本如何被有效地再投资。简单来说,它用于评估公司与其股权资本相关的盈利能力。

How Is ROE Calculated?

净资产收益率怎么计算?

The formula for ROE is:

roe的公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

净资产收益率 = 净利润(从持续经营中获得)÷ 股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Microchip Technology is:

因此,根据上述公式,微芯科技的roe为:

21% = US$1.4b ÷ US$6.4b (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2024).

21% = 140亿美元 ÷ 640亿美元(截至2024年6月的过去十二个月)。

The 'return' is the profit over the last twelve months. Another way to think of that is that for every $1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn $0.21 in profit.

“回报”是指过去十二个月的利润。另一种理解方式是,对于每1美元的净资产,公司能够赚取0.21美元的利润。

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

ROE与盈利增长之间的关系是什么?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

我们已经确定,ROE是一个公司未来盈利的高效测量工具。基于公司选择重新投资或“保留”多少利润,我们可以评估公司未来产生利润的能力。假设其他条件相同,具有更高股本回报率和更高利润保留比的公司通常增长速度较高,而没有相同特征的公司则通常增长速度较低。

Microchip Technology's Earnings Growth And 21% ROE

微芯科技的净利润增长和21%的roe

To begin with, Microchip Technology seems to have a respectable ROE. On comparing with the average industry ROE of 12% the company's ROE looks pretty remarkable. This probably laid the ground for Microchip Technology's significant 36% net income growth seen over the past five years. We believe that there might also be other aspects that are positively influencing the company's earnings growth. For example, it is possible that the company's management has made some good strategic decisions, or that the company has a low payout ratio.

首先, 微芯科技的ROE看起来相当可观。与行业平均roe 12%相比,该公司的roe看起来非常出色。这可能为微芯科技过去五年出现的显著36%的净利润增长奠定了基础。我们相信,可能还有其他一些积极影响公司盈利增长的因素。例如,公司管理层可能已经做出了一些良好的战略决策,或者该公司的派息比率较低。

We then compared Microchip Technology's net income growth with the industry and we're pleased to see that the company's growth figure is higher when compared with the industry which has a growth rate of 24% in the same 5-year period.

然后,我们将微芯科技的净利润增长与行业进行了比较,很高兴地看到,与同一5年期内24%的行业增长率相比,该公司的增长率更高。

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NasdaqGS:MCHP Past Earnings Growth October 1st 2024
纳斯达克:MCHP过去的净利润增长2024年10月1日

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. It's important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. Is MCHP fairly valued? This infographic on the company's intrinsic value has everything you need to know.

公司被赋予价值的基础在很大程度上取决于其盈利增长。投资者要知道市场是否已经反映了公司预期的盈利增长(或下降)。这样做将帮助他们判断股票的未来是充满希望还是不祥。MCHP估值合理吗?这份关于公司内在价值的信息图表包含了您需要了解的一切。

Is Microchip Technology Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

微芯科技是否有效地再投资其利润?

The three-year median payout ratio for Microchip Technology is 37%, which is moderately low. The company is retaining the remaining 63%. This suggests that its dividend is well covered, and given the high growth we discussed above, it looks like Microchip Technology is reinvesting its earnings efficiently.

微芯科技的三年中位分红比率为37%,相对较低。公司保留了其余的63%。这表明其股息得到很好的覆盖,并且考虑到我们上面讨论的高增长,微芯科技看起来正在高效地再投资其盈利。

Additionally, Microchip Technology has paid dividends over a period of at least ten years which means that the company is pretty serious about sharing its profits with shareholders. Our latest analyst data shows that the future payout ratio of the company is expected to rise to 45% over the next three years. Regardless, the future ROE for Microchip Technology is speculated to rise to 33% despite the anticipated increase in the payout ratio. There could probably be other factors that could be driving the future growth in the ROE.

此外,微芯科技在至少十年的时间内支付了股息,这意味着公司非常重视与股东分享利润。我们最新的分析师数据显示,公司未来三年的股息支付比率有望上升到45%。尽管如此,预计微芯科技未来的roe将增至33%,尽管股息支付比率预计增加。可能存在其他因素推动roe未来增长。

Conclusion

结论

On the whole, we feel that Microchip Technology's performance has been quite good. Particularly, we like that the company is reinvesting heavily into its business, and at a high rate of return. Unsurprisingly, this has led to an impressive earnings growth. With that said, the latest industry analyst forecasts reveal that the company's earnings growth is expected to slow down. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.

总的来说,我们认为微芯科技的表现相当不错。特别是我们喜欢该公司高额重新投资业务的做法,且回报率较高。毫不奇怪,这导致了令人印象深刻的收益增长。话虽如此,最新行业分析师预测显示公司的收益增长预计会放缓。这些分析师的预期是基于行业的广泛预期,还是公司的基本面?点击这里查看我们分析师为该公司的预测页面。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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