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Netflix Stock Could Get Boost From NFL Games, 'Squid Game' Season 2: Analyst Says 'Content Catalysts' Begin In Q4

Netflix Stock Could Get Boost From NFL Games, 'Squid Game' Season 2: Analyst Says 'Content Catalysts' Begin In Q4

奈飞股票可能会受益于NFL比赛和《逃出恐惧岛》第二季:分析师表示“内容催化剂”将于第四季度开始
Benzinga ·  12:25

Streaming giant Netflix Inc (NASDAQ:NFLX) could have some of its most anticipated content released with two NFL games and the release of "Squid Game" season two in December, content that an analyst said could help boost the future valuation of the stock.

流媒体巨头Netflix公司(纳斯达克股票代码:NFLX)可能会发布一些最令人期待的内容,包括两场NFL比赛以及12月的《鱿鱼游戏》第二季的发布,一位分析师表示,这些内容可能有助于提振该股的未来估值。

The Netflix Analyst: KeyBanc Capital Markets analyst Justin Patterson reiterated an Overweight rating and raised the price target from $735 to $760.

Netflix分析师:KeyBanc资本市场分析师贾斯汀·帕特森重申了增持评级,并将目标股价从735美元上调至760美元。

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The Netflix Takeaways: While most attention for Netflix will be on the upcoming third-quarter results on Oct. 17, Patterson highlights the company's fourth-quarter content slate and the potential for increased earnings per share in fiscal 2025 and fiscal 2026.

Netflix要点:尽管Netflix最关注的将是10月17日公布的第三季度业绩,但帕特森强调了该公司第四季度的内容清单以及2025财年和2026财年每股收益增长的可能性。

"We believe Netflix's strengthening content slate should drive better viewership and support improved monetization," Patterson said.

帕特森说:“我们认为,Netflix不断增强的内容储备应该可以提高收视率并支持提高盈利能力。”

The analyst said the third-quarter results and fourth-quarter guidance may not contain any surprises, but the company's content catalysts "are weighted toward the end of 4Q."

该分析师表示,第三季度业绩和第四季度指引可能没有任何意外,但该公司的内容催化剂 “将在第四季度末加权”。

Netflix will air two National Football League games on Dec. 25 and premiere the highly anticipated second season of "Squid Game" on Dec. 26, the analyst added.

该分析师补充说,Netflix将于12月25日播出两场全国橄榄球联盟比赛,并于12月26日首播备受期待的《鱿鱼游戏》第二季。

"As content ramps and pricing levels are pulled, we see potential for EPS of $24/$30 in 2025E/2026E."

“随着内容的增加和定价水平的拉动,我们认为2025E/2026E的每股收益可能达到24美元/30美元。”

Patterson predicts Netflix will add 5.5 million net paid adds in the third quarter, which is higher than Street consensus estimates of 4.3 million net adds.

帕特森预测,Netflix将在第三季度增加550万的净付费人数,高于华尔街共识估计的净增430万。

"Given NFL Christmas Day games and Squid Game 2 occur late in the quarter, we expect Netflix to take a conservative stance within guidance."

“鉴于NFL圣诞节比赛和Squid Game 2将在本季度末举行,我们预计Netflix将在指导范围内采取保守立场。”

The analyst said Netflix raising prices wouldn't come as a surprise as the streaming company is now at a lower price point for rival ad-supported plans and in line with most rival ad-free plans.

这位分析师表示,Netflix提高价格不足为奇,因为这家流媒体公司现在对竞争对手的广告支持计划的价格较低,与大多数竞争对手的无广告计划一致。

"We believe raising prices on both the ad-supported and standard price plans could alleviate concerns about ad ARPU dilution and support 2025 revenue growth in the low-teens."

“我们认为,提高广告支持计划和标准价格计划的价格可以缓解人们对广告ARPU稀释的担忧,并支持2025年低端人群的收入增长。”

Other areas to watch in Netflix's upcoming report include the AdTech stack progress of the company's proprietary platform, an update on advertising revenue and margins, according to the analyst.

分析师称,Netflix即将发布的报告中值得关注的其他领域包括该公司专有平台的广告技术堆栈进展,广告收入和利润率的最新情况。

"Unless there is a price increase or a material net add slowdown, we do not expect much reaction on this print. Most investors we speak with are comfortable with Netflix's competitive position and aware that content catalysts are coming."

“除非价格上涨或实质性净增加量放缓,否则我们预计这份印刷品不会有太大反应。我们与之交谈的大多数投资者对Netflix的竞争地位感到满意,并意识到内容催化剂即将到来。”

NFLX Price Action: Netflix stock is down 0.60% to $705.02 on Tuesday versus a 52-week trading range of $344.73 to $725.56. Netflix stock is up 50% year-to-date in 2024.

NFLX价格走势:周二,Netflix股价下跌0.60%,至705.02美元,而52周的交易区间为344.73美元,至725.56美元。2024年迄今为止,Netflix的股票上涨了50%。

  • Netflix Q2 Earnings Highlights: Revenue Beat, EPS Beat, Advertising Revenue 'More Meaningful,' 'Squid Game' Multiplayer Game Coming
  • Netflix第二季度财报亮点:收入超过预期、每股收益超过预期、广告收入 “更有意义”、“鱿鱼游戏” 多人游戏即将上线

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