Poly Union Chemical Holding Group (SZSE:002037) Has Debt But No Earnings; Should You Worry?
Poly Union Chemical Holding Group (SZSE:002037) Has Debt But No Earnings; Should You Worry?
Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, Poly Union Chemical Holding Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002037) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
沃伦·巴菲特曾说:“波动性与风险远非同义词。” 当我们考虑一家公司的风险时,我们总是喜欢看它的债务使用情况,因为债务过载可能导致毁灭。 重要的是,保利联合化工控股集团股份有限公司(SZSE:002037)确实存在债务。 但这笔债务会让股东担心吗?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
债务带来了什么风险?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
债务可以帮助企业,直到企业无法用新资本或自由现金流偿还债务。如果情况变得非常糟糕,贷款人可以接管企业。然而,更普遍(但仍然昂贵)的情况是公司必须以廉价的股票价格稀释股东,以便控制债务。当然,债务的好处在于它通常代表了廉价的资本,尤其是当它代替能够以高回报率再投资的企业的稀释时。考虑一家公司的债务水平时的第一步是将其现金和债务放在一起考虑。
What Is Poly Union Chemical Holding Group's Debt?
保利联合化工控股集团的债务是什么?
The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Poly Union Chemical Holding Group had CN¥6.43b in debt in June 2024; about the same as the year before. However, it also had CN¥1.35b in cash, and so its net debt is CN¥5.08b.
以下图表显示,您可以点击查看更详细信息,显示保利联合化工控股集团在2024年6月有64.3亿人民币的债务;与前一年持平。 然而,它也有13.5亿人民币的现金,因此其净债务为50.8亿人民币。
How Strong Is Poly Union Chemical Holding Group's Balance Sheet?
保利联合化工控股集团的资产负债表有多强?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Poly Union Chemical Holding Group had liabilities of CN¥10.8b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥3.19b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥1.35b as well as receivables valued at CN¥7.40b due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CN¥5.28b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
我们可以从最近的资产负债表中看到,保利联合化工控股集团的短期到期负债为108亿人民币,长期到期负债为31.9亿人民币。 抵消这些义务的是,它拥有13.5亿人民币的现金以及价值74亿人民币的应收账款,12个月内到期。 所以它的负债总计比现金和短期应收账款的总和高出52.8亿人民币。
Given this deficit is actually higher than the company's market capitalization of CN¥3.88b, we think shareholders really should watch Poly Union Chemical Holding Group's debt levels, like a parent watching their child ride a bike for the first time. In the scenario where the company had to clean up its balance sheet quickly, it seems likely shareholders would suffer extensive dilution. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Poly Union Chemical Holding Group will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
考虑到这个赤字实际上高于公司38.8亿人民币的市值,我们认为股东们确实应该像父母看着孩子第一次骑自行车一样注意保利联合化工控股集团的债务水平。在公司需要迅速清理资产负债表的情况下,股东们很可能会遭受严重的摊薄。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中了解到最多有关债务的信息。但是您不能孤立地看待债务;因为保利联合化工控股集团将需要盈利来偿还债务。因此,在考虑债务时,绝对值得关注盈利趋势。点击此处查看交互式快照。
Over 12 months, Poly Union Chemical Holding Group made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to CN¥6.0b, which is a fall of 13%. That's not what we would hope to see.
在12个月内,保利联合化工控股集团在EBIt层面录得亏损,并且其营业收入降至600亿人民币,降幅为13%。 这并非是我们希望看到的。
Caveat Emptor
买方自负。
While Poly Union Chemical Holding Group's falling revenue is about as heartwarming as a wet blanket, arguably its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is even less appealing. Its EBIT loss was a whopping CN¥392m. When we look at that alongside the significant liabilities, we're not particularly confident about the company. It would need to improve its operations quickly for us to be interested in it. Not least because it burned through CN¥862m in negative free cash flow over the last year. That means it's on the risky side of things. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example Poly Union Chemical Holding Group has 2 warning signs (and 1 which is a bit unpleasant) we think you should know about.
虽然保利联合化工控股集团不断下滑的营业收入就像抱着湿毛毯一样令人心碎,可以说其利息和税前(EBIT)损失更不吸引人。其EBIt损失高达3.92亿人民币。当我们将其与巨额债务放在一起看时,对该公司并不十分自信。它需要快速改善经营状况才能引起我们的兴趣。因为在过去一年中,它的负自由现金流达到8.62亿人民币。这意味着它处于风险边缘。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是显而易见的起点。然而,并非所有的投资风险都存在于资产负债表中——远非如此。例如,保利联合化工控股集团存在2个警示信号(其中1个有点不愉快),我们认为您应该知晓。
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
归根结底,专注于没有净债务的公司往往更好。您可以访问我们的特别列表,其中包括所有表现出盈利增长轨迹的公司。这是免费的。
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