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Goodbaby International Holdings' (HKG:1086) Earnings Are Weaker Than They Seem

Goodbaby International Holdings' (HKG:1086) Earnings Are Weaker Than They Seem

Goodbaby国际控股(HKG:1086)的收益看起来比实际情况要弱
Simply Wall St ·  2024/10/01 16:25

Goodbaby International Holdings Limited (HKG:1086) just reported some strong earnings, and the market reacted accordingly with a healthy uplift in the share price. However, our analysis suggests that shareholders may be missing some factors that indicate the earnings result was not as good as it looked.

Goodbaby International Holdings Limited (HKG:1086)刚刚公布了一些强劲的收益,市场做出了相应反应,股价健康上涨。然而,我们的分析表明,股东们可能忽略了一些指标,表明收益结果并不如表面看起来那么好。

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SEHK:1086 Earnings and Revenue History October 1st 2024
SEHK:1086利润和营业收入历史数据为2024年10月1日

The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit

除了稀释之外,还应该注意的是,万集科技在过去12个月中因不寻常项目获得了价值人民币3.5万元的利润。虽然我们希望看到利润增加,但当这些不寻常项目对利润做出重大贡献时,我们会更加谨慎。我们对全球大部分上市公司的数据进行了分析,发现不寻常项目往往是一次性的。这正如我们所期望的那样,因为这些提升被描述为"不寻常"。相对于其利润而言,万集科技在2021年12月前的不寻常项目贡献大。因此,我们可以推断出,这些不寻常项目正在使其财务利润显著增强。

To properly understand Goodbaby International Holdings' profit results, we need to consider the HK$78m gain attributed to unusual items. While it's always nice to have higher profit, a large contribution from unusual items sometimes dampens our enthusiasm. We ran the numbers on most publicly listed companies worldwide, and it's very common for unusual items to be once-off in nature. And that's as you'd expect, given these boosts are described as 'unusual'. If Goodbaby International Holdings doesn't see that contribution repeat, then all else being equal we'd expect its profit to drop over the current year.

要正确认识Goodbaby International Holdings的盈利结果,我们需要考虑到献给飞凡项目的7800万港元利润。虽然盈利增加总是件好事,但来自飞凡项目的贡献较大有时会减弱我们的热情。我们对全球大部分公开上市公司进行了数据统计,发现飞凡项目一次性的情况非常普遍。这也是意料之中的,考虑到这些增长被称为“飞凡”。如果Goodbaby International Holdings没有看到这一贡献再现,那么其他条件不变的情况下,我们预计其盈利在今年会下降。

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

这可能会让您想知道分析师对未来盈利能力的预测。幸运的是,您可以单击此处查看基于其估计的未来盈利能力的互动图表。

Our Take On Goodbaby International Holdings' Profit Performance

我们对Goodbaby International Holdings的利润表现看法

Arguably, Goodbaby International Holdings' statutory earnings have been distorted by unusual items boosting profit. Therefore, it seems possible to us that Goodbaby International Holdings' true underlying earnings power is actually less than its statutory profit. The silver lining is that its EPS growth over the last year has been really wonderful, even if it's not a perfect measure. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing Goodbaby International Holdings at this point in time. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Goodbaby International Holdings (1 is a bit unpleasant) you should be familiar with.

毋庸置疑,贝贝国际控股的法定收益被飞凡项目扭曲,从而提升了利润。因此,贝贝国际控股的真实基本盈利能力实际上可能低于其法定利润。一大亮点是,尽管不是完美的指标,但其上一年的每股收益增长确实非常惊人。当然,我们在分析其收益时只是触及了皮毛;人们还可以考虑利润率、预测增长以及投资回报率等其他因素。因此,收益质量虽然重要,但同样重要的是要考虑当前贝贝国际控股面临的风险。例如,我们已经发现了贝贝国际控股的2个预警信号(其中1个有点不太令人愉快),您应该熟悉。

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Goodbaby International Holdings' profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.

这篇注解只关注了一个揭示贝贝国际控股利润本质的单一因素。但有很多其他方法可以帮助您形成对公司的看法。例如,许多人认为高股本回报率是有利的商业经济的指标,而其他人喜欢“跟随资金”并寻找内部人员正在购买的股票。因此,您可能希望查看这个收录高股本回报率的公司的免费合集,或这个拥有高内部持股比例的股票清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。

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