share_log

Apple Flavor & Fragrance Group Co.,Ltd.'s (SHSE:603020) Stock Is Rallying But Financials Look Ambiguous: Will The Momentum Continue?

Apple Flavor & Fragrance Group Co.,Ltd.'s (SHSE:603020) Stock Is Rallying But Financials Look Ambiguous: Will The Momentum Continue?

苹果味香料集团(股票代码:SHSE:603020)的股票正在上涨,但财务状况看起来含糊不清:这种势头会持续吗?
Simply Wall St ·  10/02 02:32

Most readers would already be aware that Apple Flavor & Fragrance GroupLtd's (SHSE:603020) stock increased significantly by 16% over the past month. But the company's key financial indicators appear to be differing across the board and that makes us question whether or not the company's current share price momentum can be maintained. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Apple Flavor & Fragrance GroupLtd's ROE today.

大多数读者应该已经意识到,苹果味道与香料集团股份有限公司(SHSE:603020)的股票在过去一个月内大幅上涨了16%。 但公司的关键财务指标似乎在各方面存在差异,这让我们怀疑公司当前的股价动能是否能够维持。 特别是,我们将关注今天的苹果味道与香料集团股份有限公司的roe。

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors' money. In short, ROE shows the profit each dollar generates with respect to its shareholder investments.

股东权益回报率(ROE)是检验公司增加其价值和管理投资者资金有效性的测试。简而言之,ROE显示每个美元的利润与其股东的投资有关。

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

如何计算股东权益报酬率?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

股东权益报酬率可以使用以下公式计算:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

净资产收益率 = 净利润(从持续经营中获得)÷ 股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Apple Flavor & Fragrance GroupLtd is:

因此,根据上述公式,苹果味道与香料集团股份有限公司的roe为:

3.1% = CN¥106m ÷ CN¥3.4b (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2024).

3.1% = 人民币10600万 ÷ 人民币34亿(基于截至2024年6月的过去十二个月)。

The 'return' is the profit over the last twelve months. That means that for every CN¥1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated CN¥0.03 in profit.

'回报'是过去12个月的利润。这意味着,对于每一元股东权益,该公司产生了0.03元的利润。

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

ROE为什么对净利润增长很重要?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company's earnings growth potential. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

我们已经意识到,ROE作为公司未来盈利的有效衡量值。根据公司重新投资或“保留”这些利润的程度,以及公司有效地运用这些利润的程度,我们就能评估公司的盈利增长潜力。假设其他所有因素保持不变,ROE和利润保留越高,增长率就会越高,相比于没有这些特点的公司,公司的增长率就会更高。

Apple Flavor & Fragrance GroupLtd's Earnings Growth And 3.1% ROE

苹果风味香料集团有限公司的盈利增长和3.1%的roe

As you can see, Apple Flavor & Fragrance GroupLtd's ROE looks pretty weak. Even compared to the average industry ROE of 6.4%, the company's ROE is quite dismal. For this reason, Apple Flavor & Fragrance GroupLtd's five year net income decline of 11% is not surprising given its lower ROE. However, there could also be other factors causing the earnings to decline. For instance, the company has a very high payout ratio, or is faced with competitive pressures.

正如您所看到的,苹果风味香料集团有限公司的roe看起来相当疲弱。甚至与平均行业roe 6.4%相比,该公司的roe相当糟糕。因此,考虑到其较低的roe,苹果风味香料集团有限公司五年的净利润下降11%,并不令人意外。但是,导致收益下降的原因可能还有其他因素。例如,公司的派息比例非常高,或者面临竞争压力。

That being said, we compared Apple Flavor & Fragrance GroupLtd's performance with the industry and were concerned when we found that while the company has shrunk its earnings, the industry has grown its earnings at a rate of 6.3% in the same 5-year period.

话虽如此,我们将苹果风味香料集团有限公司的表现与行业进行了比较,当我们发现该公司收益减少时,我们感到担忧,而在同一5年期间,行业的收益增长速度为6.3%。

big
SHSE:603020 Past Earnings Growth October 2nd 2024
SHSE:603020过往盈利增长2024年10月2日

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. Is Apple Flavor & Fragrance GroupLtd fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

股票价值的基础在很大程度上与其盈利增长相关。投资者应该尝试确定预期的盈利增长或下降(不管是哪种情况)是否已经定价。这样一来,他们就会知道该股票是走向清澈碧蓝的水域还是等待着泥泞的水域。苹果风味与香料集团是否与其他公司相比估值合理?这三个估值指标可能会帮助你做出决定。

Is Apple Flavor & Fragrance GroupLtd Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

苹果风味与香料集团是否高效地再投资其利润?

Despite having a normal three-year median payout ratio of 26% (where it is retaining 74% of its profits), Apple Flavor & Fragrance GroupLtd has seen a decline in earnings as we saw above. It looks like there might be some other reasons to explain the lack in that respect. For example, the business could be in decline.

尽管其正常的三年中位数分红比率为26%(其中有74%的利润被留存),正如我们上面看到的那样,苹果风味与香料集团的盈利出现下降。看起来可能有一些其他原因可以解释相应的不足。例如,业务可能在衰退。

Moreover, Apple Flavor & Fragrance GroupLtd has been paying dividends for nine years, which is a considerable amount of time, suggesting that management must have perceived that the shareholders prefer consistent dividends even though earnings have been shrinking.

此外,苹果风味与香料集团已连续九年支付股息,这是相当长的一段时间,表明管理层必须认为股东更喜欢稳定的股息,即使盈利一直在下降。

Conclusion

结论

Overall, we have mixed feelings about Apple Flavor & Fragrance GroupLtd. Even though it appears to be retaining most of its profits, given the low ROE, investors may not be benefitting from all that reinvestment after all. The low earnings growth suggests our theory correct. Wrapping up, we would proceed with caution with this company and one way of doing that would be to look at the risk profile of the business. To know the 3 risks we have identified for Apple Flavor & Fragrance GroupLtd visit our risks dashboard for free.

总体而言,我们对苹果风味香料集团有一些复杂的感受。尽管它似乎保留了大部分利润,但考虑到ROE较低,投资者可能并未从所有再投资中受益。低利润增长表明我们的理论是正确的。总结一下,我们将对这家公司谨慎行事,一种做法是查看该业务的风险配置文件。若要了解我们已识别的苹果风味香料集团的三大风险,请免费访问我们的风险仪表板。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

对本文有任何反馈?对内容有任何疑虑?请直接与我们联系。或者,发送电子邮件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
    抢沙发