Is Jinlong Machinery & ElectronicLtd (SZSE:300032) Using Debt In A Risky Way?
Is Jinlong Machinery & ElectronicLtd (SZSE:300032) Using Debt In A Risky Way?
Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Jinlong Machinery & Electronic Co.,Ltd (SZSE:300032) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
霍华德·马克斯说得好,他说的不是担心股价的波动,而是 “永久损失的可能性是我担心的风险... 也是我认识的每位实际投资者所担心的风险。”当我们考虑一家公司的风险时,我们总是喜欢考虑其债务的用途,因为债务过载可能导致破产。我们可以看到,金龙机电股份有限公司, Ltd(深圳证券交易所代码:300032)确实在其业务中使用债务。但是这笔债务是股东关心的问题吗?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
债务会带来什么风险?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
一般而言,只有当公司无法通过筹集资金或用自己的现金流轻松还清债务时,债务才会成为真正的问题。在最坏的情况下,如果公司无法向债权人付款,它可能会破产。但是,更常见(但仍然昂贵)的情况是,公司为了控制债务,必须以低廉的股价稀释股东。当然,债务的好处在于它通常代表廉价资本,尤其是当它以高回报率进行再投资的能力取代公司的稀释时。当我们考虑公司使用债务时,我们首先将现金和债务放在一起考虑。
What Is Jinlong Machinery & ElectronicLtd's Net Debt?
金龙机电有限公司的净负债是多少?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of June 2024 Jinlong Machinery & ElectronicLtd had CN¥239.1m of debt, an increase on CN¥203.8m, over one year. But it also has CN¥249.8m in cash to offset that, meaning it has CN¥10.7m net cash.
你可以点击下图查看历史数字,但它显示,截至2024年6月,金龙机电有限公司在一年内有23910万元人民币的债务,比20380万加元人民币的债务有所增加。但它也有24980万元的现金来抵消这一点,这意味着它有1070万元的净现金。
![big](https://usnewsfile.moomoo.com/public/MM-PersistNewsContentImage/7781/20241002/0-d17b1580bc3ae2650f4f9b4c6cc61730-0-d6360a90c22c51f03921c223f1347a93.png/big)
A Look At Jinlong Machinery & ElectronicLtd's Liabilities
看看金龙机电股份有限公司的负债
According to the last reported balance sheet, Jinlong Machinery & ElectronicLtd had liabilities of CN¥724.3m due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥232.0m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥249.8m as well as receivables valued at CN¥356.5m due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥350.0m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
根据上次报告的资产负债表,金龙机电有限公司在12个月内到期的负债为72430万元人民币,12个月以后到期的负债为23200万元人民币。除了这些债务外,它还有24980万元人民币的现金以及价值35650万元人民币的应收账款,将在12个月内到期。因此,它的负债总额为35000万元人民币,超过了现金和短期应收账款的总和。
Of course, Jinlong Machinery & ElectronicLtd has a market capitalization of CN¥3.54b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Jinlong Machinery & ElectronicLtd also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Jinlong Machinery & ElectronicLtd will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
当然,金龙机电有限公司的市值为35.4元人民币,因此这些负债可能是可以控制的。但是,有足够的负债,我们肯定会建议股东今后继续监督资产负债表。尽管确实有值得注意的负债,但金龙机电有限公司的现金也多于债务,因此我们非常有信心它可以安全地管理债务。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是显而易见的起点。但是你不能完全孤立地看待债务;因为金龙机电有限公司需要收益来偿还债务。因此,在考虑债务时,绝对值得一看收益趋势。单击此处查看交互式快照。
In the last year Jinlong Machinery & ElectronicLtd had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 57%, to CN¥1.7b. That makes us nervous, to say the least.
去年,金龙机电股份有限公司在利息和税前出现亏损,实际收入减少了57%。CN¥17。至少可以说,这让我们感到紧张。
So How Risky Is Jinlong Machinery & ElectronicLtd?
那么金龙机电股份有限公司的风险有多大?
We have no doubt that loss making companies are, in general, riskier than profitable ones. And in the last year Jinlong Machinery & ElectronicLtd had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss, truth be told. And over the same period it saw negative free cash outflow of CN¥233m and booked a CN¥439m accounting loss. But at least it has CN¥10.7m on the balance sheet to spend on growth, near-term. Overall, we'd say the stock is a bit risky, and we're usually very cautious until we see positive free cash flow. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 1 warning sign with Jinlong Machinery & ElectronicLtd , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
我们毫不怀疑,总的来说,亏损公司比盈利的公司风险更大。说实话,去年金龙机电有限公司出现了息税前收益(EBIT)亏损。同期,它的自由现金流出为负23300万元人民币,出现了43900万元人民币的会计亏损。但至少在短期内,它的资产负债表上有1070万元人民币可用于增长。总的来说,我们会说这只股票有点风险,在看到正的自由现金流之前,我们通常会非常谨慎。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是显而易见的起点。但是,并非所有的投资风险都存在于资产负债表中,远非如此。我们已经向金龙机电有限公司确定了1个警告信号,了解它们应该是您投资过程的一部分。
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
归根结底,通常最好将注意力集中在没有净负债的公司身上。您可以访问我们的此类公司的特别名单(所有公司都有利润增长记录)。它是免费的。
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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。