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We Think Times Neighborhood Holdings' (HKG:9928) Healthy Earnings Might Be Conservative

We Think Times Neighborhood Holdings' (HKG:9928) Healthy Earnings Might Be Conservative

我们认为时报邻里控股(HKG:9928)的收益可能较保守
Simply Wall St ·  10/02 15:30

Investors signalled that they were pleased with Times Neighborhood Holdings Limited's (HKG:9928) most recent earnings report. This reaction by the market reaction is understandable when looking at headline profits and we have found some further encouraging factors.

投资者表示对泰晤士邻里控股有限公司(HKG:9928)最新的收益报告感到满意。市场对此做出的反应是可以理解的,当看到头条利润时,我们找到了一些进一步的令人鼓舞的因素。

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SEHK:9928 Earnings and Revenue History October 2nd 2024
SEHK:9928 盈利和营业收入历史数据 2024年10月2日

Examining Cashflow Against Times Neighborhood Holdings' Earnings

审查泰晤士邻里控股公司现金流与其盈利情况

In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.

在高级金融领域,衡量公司将报告的利润转化为自由现金流(FCF)的关键比率是应计比率(从现金流量中)。简而言之,此比率将FCF从净利润中扣除,然后将该数字除以该期间内公司的平均营运资产。这个比率告诉我们公司利润中有多少不由自由现金流支持。

Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.

因此,当一家公司的应计比率变为负数时,这实际上是一件好事,但如果应计比率是正数,则是一件坏事。虽然应计比率为正数并不是问题,这表明一定程度的非现金利润,但高应计比率被认为是一件坏事,因为它表明纸面利润无法与现金流相匹配。值得注意的是,一些学术证据表明,高应计比率通常是近期利润的一个不好的迹象。

For the year to June 2024, Times Neighborhood Holdings had an accrual ratio of -0.14. Therefore, its statutory earnings were quite a lot less than its free cashflow. Indeed, in the last twelve months it reported free cash flow of CN¥161m, well over the CN¥82.6m it reported in profit. Times Neighborhood Holdings did see its free cash flow drop year on year, which is less than ideal, like a Simpson's episode without Groundskeeper Willie.

截至2024年6月,泰晤士邻里控股公司的应计比率为-0.14。因此,其法定盈利远远低于其自由现金流。事实上,在过去的十二个月中,它报告的自由现金流为人民币16100万,远远超过其报告的盈利人民币8260万。泰晤士邻里控股公司的自由现金流年度降低,这并不理想,就像一集没有园丁威利的辛普森一样。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Times Neighborhood Holdings.

注意:我们始终建议投资者检查资产负债表的强度。点击这里查看我们对泰晤士邻里控股公司资产负债表分析。

Our Take On Times Neighborhood Holdings' Profit Performance

关于时代地产控股公司的盈利表现

Times Neighborhood Holdings' accrual ratio is solid, and indicates strong free cash flow, as we discussed, above. Because of this, we think Times Neighborhood Holdings' earnings potential is at least as good as it seems, and maybe even better! And one can definitely find a positive in the fact that it made a profit this year, despite losing money last year. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. In light of this, if you'd like to do more analysis on the company, it's vital to be informed of the risks involved. Every company has risks, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Times Neighborhood Holdings (of which 1 makes us a bit uncomfortable!) you should know about.

时代地产控股公司的应计比率稳健,显示出强劲的自由现金流,正如我们所讨论的那样,这意味着时代地产控股公司的盈利潜力至少与表面看起来一样好,甚至可能更好!而且今年盈利,尽管去年亏损,这一事实确实有利之处。当然,我们只是初步分析了其盈利,也可以考虑毛利率、预测增长和投资回报率等其他因素。鉴于此,如果您想对该公司进行更多分析,了解相关风险至关重要。每家公司都存在风险,我们发现了时代地产控股公司的 3 个警示信号(其中有 1 个使我们有些不舒服!)应该知晓。

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Times Neighborhood Holdings' profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.

今天,我们聚焦在一个单一数据点上,以更好地理解时代地产控股公司盈利性质。但如果您能聚焦于细枝末节,总会有更多发现。一些人认为,股权回报率高是一个优质企业的良好迹象。因此,您可能希望查看这些具有高股权回报率的公司集合,或者这些持有高内部股份的股票清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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