Linklogis Inc. (HKG:9959) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 61% after a shaky period beforehand. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 48% in the last year.
Since its price has surged higher, when almost half of the companies in Hong Kong's Software industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1.4x, you may consider Linklogis as a stock not worth researching with its 4.6x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.
What Does Linklogis' P/S Mean For Shareholders?
There hasn't been much to differentiate Linklogis' and the industry's revenue growth lately. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is high because investors think this modest revenue performance will accelerate. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Linklogis.
How Is Linklogis' Revenue Growth Trending?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Linklogis would need to produce outstanding growth that's well in excess of the industry.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 11%. However, this wasn't enough as the latest three year period has seen an unpleasant 13% overall drop in revenue. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the dual analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 13% over the next year. With the industry predicted to deliver 24% growth, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.
With this information, we find it concerning that Linklogis is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as this level of revenue growth is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
What We Can Learn From Linklogis' P/S?
The strong share price surge has lead to Linklogis' P/S soaring as well. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
Despite analysts forecasting some poorer-than-industry revenue growth figures for Linklogis, this doesn't appear to be impacting the P/S in the slightest. The weakness in the company's revenue estimate doesn't bode well for the elevated P/S, which could take a fall if the revenue sentiment doesn't improve. This places shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.
Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Linklogis that you should be aware of.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Linklogis, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content?Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.