Productive Technologies Company Limited (HKG:650) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 57% after a shaky period beforehand. The bad news is that even after the stocks recovery in the last 30 days, shareholders are still underwater by about 8.2% over the last year.
Following the firm bounce in price, when almost half of the companies in Hong Kong's Semiconductor industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1.3x, you may consider Productive Technologies as a stock not worth researching with its 3.8x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.
How Has Productive Technologies Performed Recently?
For example, consider that Productive Technologies' financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from collapsing. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Productive Technologies' earnings, revenue and cash flow.
What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Productive Technologies would need to produce outstanding growth that's well in excess of the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 4.2% decrease to the company's top line. Spectacularly, three year revenue growth has ballooned by several orders of magnitude, despite the drawbacks experienced in the last 12 months. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company, but investors will want to ask why it is now in decline.
Comparing that recent medium-term revenue trajectory with the industry's one-year growth forecast of 19% shows it's noticeably more attractive.
In light of this, it's understandable that Productive Technologies' P/S sits above the majority of other companies. Presumably shareholders aren't keen to offload something they believe will continue to outmanoeuvre the wider industry.
The Key Takeaway
Shares in Productive Technologies have seen a strong upwards swing lately, which has really helped boost its P/S figure. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
We've established that Productive Technologies maintains its high P/S on the strength of its recent three-year growth being higher than the wider industry forecast, as expected. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/S as they are quite confident revenue aren't under threat. Barring any significant changes to the company's ability to make money, the share price should continue to be propped up.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 2 warning signs for Productive Technologies you should be aware of, and 1 of them is a bit unpleasant.
If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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Productive Technologies Company Limited(HKG:650)股票在经历了一段动荡时期后,上个月表现非常出色,涨幅达57%。令人遗憾的是,即使在过去30天股票价格有所恢复,股东们仍然比去年同期亏损了约8.2%。