TravelSky Technology Limited (HKG:696) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 32% share price jump in the last month. But the gains over the last month weren't enough to make shareholders whole, as the share price is still down 5.5% in the last twelve months.
Since its price has surged higher, TravelSky Technology's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 21.1x might make it look like a strong sell right now compared to the market in Hong Kong, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 9x and even P/E's below 5x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.
Recent times have been advantageous for TravelSky Technology as its earnings have been rising faster than most other companies. The P/E is probably high because investors think this strong earnings performance will continue. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
Keen to find out how analysts think TravelSky Technology's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.
What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/E?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, TravelSky Technology would need to produce outstanding growth well in excess of the market.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 13% gain to the company's bottom line. Pleasingly, EPS has also lifted 63% in aggregate from three years ago, partly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been superb for the company.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 18% per annum as estimated by the eleven analysts watching the company. With the market only predicted to deliver 12% per annum, the company is positioned for a stronger earnings result.
In light of this, it's understandable that TravelSky Technology's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.
The Key Takeaway
The strong share price surge has got TravelSky Technology's P/E rushing to great heights as well. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
As we suspected, our examination of TravelSky Technology's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook is contributing to its high P/E. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/E as they are quite confident future earnings aren't under threat. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
A lot of potential risks can sit within a company's balance sheet. Take a look at our free balance sheet analysis for TravelSky Technology with six simple checks on some of these key factors.
If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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