Rich Goldman Holdings Limited (HKG:70) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 43% after a shaky period beforehand. The bad news is that even after the stocks recovery in the last 30 days, shareholders are still underwater by about 3.2% over the last year.
Although its price has surged higher, there still wouldn't be many who think Rich Goldman Holdings' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.9x is worth a mention when the median P/S in Hong Kong's Hospitality industry is similar at about 0.7x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.
What Does Rich Goldman Holdings' Recent Performance Look Like?
The revenue growth achieved at Rich Goldman Holdings over the last year would be more than acceptable for most companies. It might be that many expect the respectable revenue performance to wane, which has kept the P/S from rising. Those who are bullish on Rich Goldman Holdings will be hoping that this isn't the case, so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Rich Goldman Holdings' earnings, revenue and cash flow.
What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like Rich Goldman Holdings' to be considered reasonable.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 29%. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 148% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.
This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 16% over the next year, materially lower than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.
With this information, we find it interesting that Rich Goldman Holdings is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. Apparently some shareholders believe the recent performance is at its limits and have been accepting lower selling prices.
The Key Takeaway
Rich Goldman Holdings appears to be back in favour with a solid price jump bringing its P/S back in line with other companies in the industry Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
We've established that Rich Goldman Holdings currently trades on a lower than expected P/S since its recent three-year growth is higher than the wider industry forecast. When we see strong revenue with faster-than-industry growth, we can only assume potential risks are what might be placing pressure on the P/S ratio. While recent revenue trends over the past medium-term suggest that the risk of a price decline is low, investors appear to see the likelihood of revenue fluctuations in the future.
You need to take note of risks, for example - Rich Goldman Holdings has 3 warning signs (and 1 which can't be ignored) we think you should know about.
If you're unsure about the strength of Rich Goldman Holdings' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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