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Can Mixed Fundamentals Have A Negative Impact on China Animal Husbandry Industry Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600195) Current Share Price Momentum?

Can Mixed Fundamentals Have A Negative Impact on China Animal Husbandry Industry Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600195) Current Share Price Momentum?

混合基本面对中牧股份有限公司(SHSE:600195)当前股价动能会产生负面影响吗?
Simply Wall St ·  10/02 19:01

China Animal Husbandry Industry's (SHSE:600195) stock is up by a considerable 23% over the past month. However, we wonder if the company's inconsistent financials would have any adverse impact on the current share price momentum. Particularly, we will be paying attention to China Animal Husbandry Industry's ROE today.

中牧股份(SHSE:600195)的股票在过去一个月内大幅上涨了23%。然而,我们担心公司不稳定的财务状况是否会对当前股价势头产生任何负面影响。特别是,我们将关注中牧股份今天的roe。

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors' money. Simply put, it is used to assess the profitability of a company in relation to its equity capital.

股东权益回报率(ROE)是测试公司如何有效地增加其价值并管理投资者资金的指标。简而言之,它用于评估公司相对于股本资本的盈利能力。

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

如何计算股东权益报酬率?

The formula for return on equity is:

权益回报率的计算公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

净资产收益率 = 净利润(从持续经营中获得)÷ 股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for China Animal Husbandry Industry is:

因此,根据上述公式,中牧股份的roe为:

2.4% = CN¥157m ÷ CN¥6.6b (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2024).

2.4% = 1.57亿元 ÷ 660亿元(截至2024年6月的过去十二个月)。

The 'return' is the income the business earned over the last year. One way to conceptualize this is that for each CN¥1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made CN¥0.02 in profit.

‘回报’是企业去年赚取的收入。可以这么想,即对于每1元股东资本,公司利润为0.02元人民币。

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

roe与盈利增长有何关系?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

到目前为止,我们已经了解到roe是衡量公司盈利能力的指标。我们现在需要评估公司重新投资或“保留”的利润量,从而给我们提供有关公司增长潜力的想法。其他条件相同的情况下,roe和利润保留率均较高的公司通常是增长率比没有这些特征的公司高的公司。

China Animal Husbandry Industry's Earnings Growth And 2.4% ROE

中牧股份的收益增长和2.4%的roe

As you can see, China Animal Husbandry Industry's ROE looks pretty weak. Even when compared to the industry average of 7.6%, the ROE figure is pretty disappointing. Therefore, the disappointing ROE therefore provides a background to China Animal Husbandry Industry's very little net income growth of 3.7% over the past five years.

正如您所看到的,中牧股份的roe看起来相当弱。即使与7.6%的行业平均值相比,roe数字也相当令人失望。因此,令人失望的roe为中牧股份过去五年仅有3.7%的净利润增长提供了背景。

We then compared China Animal Husbandry Industry's net income growth with the industry and found that the company's growth figure is lower than the average industry growth rate of 9.0% in the same 5-year period, which is a bit concerning.

随后我们将中牧股份的净利润增长与行业进行了比较,发现该公司的增长数字低于同一5年期间行业平均增长率的9.0%,这有点令人担忧。

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SHSE:600195 Past Earnings Growth October 2nd 2024
SHSE:600195历史数据2024年10月2日盈利增长

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. It's important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if China Animal Husbandry Industry is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

评估公司价值的基础在很大程度上与其盈利增长相关。投资者了解市场是否已将公司预期的盈利增长(或下滑)计入定价是很重要的。这样做将有助于他们判断股票未来是看涨还是看跌。一个良好的预期盈利增长指标是市盈率,根据盈利前景决定市场愿意支付多少价格购买股票。因此,您可能想要检查中牧股份的市盈率相对于其所在行业是偏高还是偏低。

Is China Animal Husbandry Industry Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

中牧股份是否有效利用留存收益?

Despite having a normal three-year median payout ratio of 33% (or a retention ratio of 67% over the past three years, China Animal Husbandry Industry has seen very little growth in earnings as we saw above. So there could be some other explanation in that regard. For instance, the company's business may be deteriorating.

尽管中牧股份过去三年间的正常中位数分红比率为33%(或过去三年的留存比率为67%),根据我们之前看到的,该公司的盈利增长非常有限。因此,这方面可能有其他解释。例如,公司的业务可能正在恶化。

Moreover, China Animal Husbandry Industry has been paying dividends for at least ten years or more suggesting that management must have perceived that the shareholders prefer dividends over earnings growth. Based on the latest analysts' estimates, we found that the company's future payout ratio over the next three years is expected to hold steady at 29%. Still, forecasts suggest that China Animal Husbandry Industry's future ROE will rise to 8.6% even though the the company's payout ratio is not expected to change by much.

此外,中牧股份至少连续十年支付股息,表明管理层必定认为股东更青睐股息而不是盈利增长。根据最新分析师的预估,我们发现公司未来三年的股息支付比率预计将稳定在29%。尽管预测表明中牧股份未来的roe将升至8.6%,尽管公司的股息支付比率预计变化不大。

Conclusion

结论

In total, we're a bit ambivalent about China Animal Husbandry Industry's performance. Even though it appears to be retaining most of its profits, given the low ROE, investors may not be benefitting from all that reinvestment after all. The low earnings growth suggests our theory correct. With that said, the latest industry analyst forecasts reveal that the company's earnings are expected to accelerate. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

总的来说,我们对中牧股份的表现有些矛盾。尽管它似乎保留了大部分利润,但由于roe较低,投资者可能并没有从所有再投资中获益。较低的盈利增长表明我们的理论是正确的。话虽如此,最新的行业分析师预测显示,公司的收入有望加速增长。要了解更多关于公司的最新分析师预测,请查看这一图表。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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