We Think Anhui Guangxin Agrochemical (SHSE:603599) Can Manage Its Debt With Ease
We Think Anhui Guangxin Agrochemical (SHSE:603599) Can Manage Its Debt With Ease
Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that Anhui Guangxin Agrochemical Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603599) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
沃伦·巴菲特曾经说过,“波动性与风险远非同义词。”因此,明智的投资者会意识到,债务——通常与破产有关——是评估公司风险程度时非常重要的因素。我们注意到,广信股份股份有限公司(SHSE:603599)的资产负债表上确实有债务。但这笔债务会让股东担心吗?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
为什么债务会带来风险?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
当企业无法轻松地履行其义务时,无论是通过自由现金流还是以有吸引力的价格筹集资本,债务和其他负债都会对企业造成风险。如果情况真的很糟,贷款人可以控制企业。虽然这种情况不太常见,但我们经常看到负债累累的企业因贷款人强制他们以困境价格筹集资本而永久稀释股东利益。话虽如此,最常见的情况是公司合理地处理其债务——并使其受益。考虑一家公司的债务水平时的第一步是考虑其现金和债务总额。
How Much Debt Does Anhui Guangxin Agrochemical Carry?
广信股份承担了多少债务?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of June 2024 Anhui Guangxin Agrochemical had CN¥3.14b of debt, an increase on CN¥1.53b, over one year. However, its balance sheet shows it holds CN¥11.4b in cash, so it actually has CN¥8.23b net cash.
您可以点击下方的图表查看历史数据,截至2024年6月,广信股份负债总额为31.4亿人民币,较去年的15.3亿人民币增加。然而,其资产负债表显示其持有114亿人民币的现金,因此实际上拥有82.3亿人民币的净现金。
How Strong Is Anhui Guangxin Agrochemical's Balance Sheet?
安徽广信农化的资产负债表有多强?
According to the last reported balance sheet, Anhui Guangxin Agrochemical had liabilities of CN¥6.31b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥110.2m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had CN¥11.4b in cash and CN¥560.8m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it can boast CN¥5.51b more liquid assets than total liabilities.
根据最近披露的资产负债表显示,安徽广信农化有着短期到期的总负债为63.1亿人民币,以及超过12个月应付的负债为11020万人民币。 抵消这些,其账上有114亿人民币现金及56080万人民币在12个月内到期的应收账款。 因此,其流动资产比总负债多出55.1亿人民币。
This luscious liquidity implies that Anhui Guangxin Agrochemical's balance sheet is sturdy like a giant sequoia tree. On this view, lenders should feel as safe as the beloved of a black-belt karate master. Succinctly put, Anhui Guangxin Agrochemical boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!
这种丰富的流动性意味着安徽广信农化的资产负债表像一棵巨大的红杉树一样坚实。 从这个角度来看,放贷人应该感觉像黑带空手道大师的爱人一样安全。 简而言之,安徽广信农化拥有净现金,因此可以说它没有沉重的债务负担!
It is just as well that Anhui Guangxin Agrochemical's load is not too heavy, because its EBIT was down 76% over the last year. When a company sees its earnings tank, it can sometimes find its relationships with its lenders turn sour. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Anhui Guangxin Agrochemical's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
幸好安徽广信农化的负债不是太重,因为其EBIT在过去一年下降了76%。 当一家公司看到其收益暴跌时,有时会发现其与放贷人的关系可能变得恶化。 在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是显而易见的起点。 但未来的收益,大于任何事情,将决定安徽广信农化维持健康资产负债表的能力。 因此,如果您关注未来,可以查看此免费报告,显示分析师的利润预测。
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. Anhui Guangxin Agrochemical may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. During the last three years, Anhui Guangxin Agrochemical produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 72% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.
最后,虽然税务局可能喜欢会计利润,但放贷人只接受冰冷的现金。 安徽广信农化可能在资产负债表上拥有净现金,但看看业务如何将其利息和税前收益(EBIT)转化为自由现金流是很有趣的,因为这将影响其管理债务的需求和能力。 在过去三年中,安徽广信农化产生了稳健的自由现金流,相当于其EBIT的72%,符合我们的预期。 这种自由现金流使公司有能力在适当时偿还债务。
Summing Up
总之
While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case Anhui Guangxin Agrochemical has CN¥8.23b in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. The cherry on top was that in converted 72% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in -CN¥384m. So is Anhui Guangxin Agrochemical's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should learn about the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Anhui Guangxin Agrochemical (including 1 which is concerning) .
虽然调查一家公司的债务总是明智的,但在这种情况下,广信股份的净现金为82.3亿元人民币,资产负债表看起来不错。最令人满意的是,将其中72%的EBIt转换为自由现金流,带来了-38400万人民币。那么,广信股份的债务风险呢?在我们看来似乎不是这样。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是开始控件。然而,并不是所有的投资风险都存在于资产负债表中 - 远非如此。为此,您应该了解我们发现的广信股份的2个警示信号(包括1个令人担忧的信号)。
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
归根结底,专注于没有净债务的公司往往更好。您可以访问我们的特别列表,其中包括所有表现出盈利增长轨迹的公司。这是免费的。
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