We Think China XD Electric (SHSE:601179) Can Manage Its Debt With Ease
We Think China XD Electric (SHSE:601179) Can Manage Its Debt With Ease
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that China XD Electric Co., Ltd (SHSE:601179) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
传奇基金经理李录(得到查理·芒格支持)曾经说过,'最大的投资风险不是价格波动,而是是否会遭受资本永久损失。'因此,看起来聪明的人知道债务——通常与破产有关——是评估公司风险程度时非常重要的因素。我们注意到中国西电股份有限公司(SHSE:601179)确实在资产负债表上有债务。但真正的问题是这些债务是否会让公司变得有风险。
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
债务带来了什么风险?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
一般而言,当公司无法轻易偿还债务(通过筹资或其自有的现金流)时,债务才真正成为一个问题。如果情况变得真的很糟糕,债权人将接管公司。然而,更频繁(但仍然昂贵)的情况是公司必须以低于市场价的价格发行股票,从而永久性地稀释股东权益,以加强资产负债表。通过代替稀释股东,债务可以成为需要资本以高收益率投资增长的企业的一种极好的工具。在考虑一家公司的债务水平时,第一步是同时考虑其现金和债务。
What Is China XD Electric's Net Debt?
中国西电的净负债是多少?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at June 2024 China XD Electric had debt of CN¥882.9m, up from CN¥725.7m in one year. But it also has CN¥10.3b in cash to offset that, meaning it has CN¥9.37b net cash.
下面的图片显示,截至2024年6月,中国西电负债为88,290万元人民币,比一年前的72,570万元人民币增加。但它也有103亿元现金来抵消这笔债务,意味着它拥有93.7亿元的净现金。
How Strong Is China XD Electric's Balance Sheet?
中国西电电气股份有限公司的资产负债表有多健康?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that China XD Electric had liabilities of CN¥17.6b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥1.90b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥10.3b and CN¥15.8b worth of receivables due within a year. So it actually has CN¥6.50b more liquid assets than total liabilities.
从最新的资产负债表数据来看,中国西电的负债中有176亿人民币在12个月内到期,19亿人民币在此之后到期。另一方面,其账上有103亿人民币的现金和158亿人民币的应收款项在一年内到期。因此,它实际上比总负债多了65亿人民币的流动资产。
This short term liquidity is a sign that China XD Electric could probably pay off its debt with ease, as its balance sheet is far from stretched. Succinctly put, China XD Electric boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!
这种短期流动性是中国西电可以轻松偿还债务的迹象,因为其资产负债表远未过度紧张。简而言之,中国西电拥有净现金,所以可以说它没有沉重的债务负担!
Even more impressive was the fact that China XD Electric grew its EBIT by 112% over twelve months. That boost will make it even easier to pay down debt going forward. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if China XD Electric can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
更令人印象深刻的是,中国西电在过去十二个月内实现了112%的EBIt增长。这种增长将使未来偿还债务变得更加容易。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中能看到大部分有关债务的信息。但最终,业务的未来盈利性将决定中国西电是否能长期加强其资产负债表。因此,如果您想知道专业人士的看法,也许您会对这份有关分析师利润预测的免费报告感兴趣。
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. China XD Electric may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. During the last three years, China XD Electric generated free cash flow amounting to a very robust 96% of its EBIT, more than we'd expect. That puts it in a very strong position to pay down debt.
最后,一家企业需要自由现金流来偿还债务;会计利润并不能解决问题。中国西电的资产负债表上可能有净现金,但看看企业如何将其利息和税前利润(EBIT)转化为自由现金流,这一点仍然有趣,因为这将影响到其偿还债务的需求和能力。在过去三年中,中国西电产生的自由现金流相当强劲,达到了其EBIt的96%,这超出了我们的预期。这使其在偿还债务方面处于非常强势的位置。
Summing Up
总之
While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case China XD Electric has CN¥9.37b in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. The cherry on top was that in converted 96% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in CN¥3.4b. So is China XD Electric's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example - China XD Electric has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.
虽然调查公司的债务一直是明智之举,但在这种情况下,中国西电的净现金为93.7亿人民币,资产负债表看起来不错。最令人欣慰的是,将其中96%的EBIt转化为自由现金流,带来了34亿人民币。那么中国西电的债务风险呢?在我们看来似乎并不是。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是显而易见的起点。然而,并非所有的投资风险都存在于资产负债表中 - 远非如此。例如,中国西电有1个警示信号,我们认为您应该注意。
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
如果您有兴趣投资能够在不负债的情况下增长利润的企业,请查看这份免费列表,其中列出了在资产负债表上拥有净现金的成长型企业。
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