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Pulling Back 3.1% This Week, Agnico Eagle Mines' NYSE:AEM) One-year Decline in Earnings May Be Coming Into Investors Focus

Pulling Back 3.1% This Week, Agnico Eagle Mines' NYSE:AEM) One-year Decline in Earnings May Be Coming Into Investors Focus

这周下跌3.1%,伊格尔矿业(NYSE:AEM)一年来收益下滑可能成为投资者关注的焦点。
Simply Wall St ·  10/03 10:15

These days it's easy to simply buy an index fund, and your returns should (roughly) match the market. But you can significantly boost your returns by picking above-average stocks. To wit, the Agnico Eagle Mines Limited (NYSE:AEM) share price is 88% higher than it was a year ago, much better than the market return of around 34% (not including dividends) in the same period. So that should have shareholders smiling. Also impressive, the stock is up 53% over three years, making long term shareholders happy, too.

这些天简单地购买一个指数基金很容易,您的投资回报应该(大致)与市场相匹配。但是,通过选择高于平均水平的股票,您可以显著提高投资回报。换句话说,伊格尔矿业有限公司(纽交所:AEM)的股价比一年前高出88%,远远优于同期市场回报率约34%(不包括分红)。因此,股东应该会笑逐颜开。同样令人印象深刻的是,该股票在三年内上涨了53%,使长期股东也感到高兴。

Although Agnico Eagle Mines has shed US$1.3b from its market cap this week, let's take a look at its longer term fundamental trends and see if they've driven returns.

尽管伊格尔矿业本周市值减少了13亿美元,让我们来看一下其更长期的基本趋势,看看是否推动了投资回报。

To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

引用巴菲特的话顺便说一下,“船只将环游世界,但支持地球平面学会的人将大有可为。 在市场上,价格和价值之间将继续存在巨大的差异...”通过比较EPS和股价变化,我们可以了解到投资者对公司的态度随时间的变化程度。

Over the last twelve months, Agnico Eagle Mines actually shrank its EPS by 76%.

在过去的十二个月里,伊格尔矿业实际上将其每股收益减少了76%。

So we don't think that investors are paying too much attention to EPS. Indeed, when EPS is declining but the share price is up, it often means the market is considering other factors.

因此,我们认为投资者并没有过多关注每股收益。实际上,当每股收益下降但股价上涨时,这通常意味着市场正在考虑其他因素。

We doubt the modest 2.0% dividend yield is doing much to support the share price. However the year on year revenue growth of 21% would help. Many businesses do go through a phase where they have to forgo some profits to drive business development, and sometimes its for the best.

我们怀疑2.0%的谦逊股息收益率对支撑股价起到了多少作用。然而,21%的年同比营业收入增长会有所帮助。许多企业确实会经历一段必须放弃一些利润来推动业务发展的阶段,有时候这样做是最好的。

The graphic below depicts how earnings and revenue have changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

下面的图表显示了收益和营收随时间的变化情况(通过单击图像揭示确切的值)。

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NYSE:AEM Earnings and Revenue Growth October 3rd 2024
纽交所:伊格尔矿业 2024年10月3日收益和营业收入增长

We consider it positive that insiders have made significant purchases in the last year. Even so, future earnings will be far more important to whether current shareholders make money. This free report showing analyst forecasts should help you form a view on Agnico Eagle Mines

我们认为内部人士在过去一年中进行了重大购买是积极的。即便如此,未来的盈利对于现有股东是否赚钱将更为重要。这份显示分析师预测的免费报告应该能帮助您形成对伊格尔矿业的观点。

What About Dividends?

那么分红怎么样呢?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. We note that for Agnico Eagle Mines the TSR over the last 1 year was 93%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

除了衡量股价回报外,投资者还应考虑总股东回报(TSR)。TSR包括任何剥离或折价增资的价值,以及根据假设股息再投资的任何分红。可以说TSR为支付股息的股票提供了更完整的画面。我们注意到,对于伊格尔矿业,过去1年的TSR为93%,这比上述股价回报要好。毫无疑问,股息支付在很大程度上解释了这种分歧!

A Different Perspective

不同的观点

It's nice to see that Agnico Eagle Mines shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 93% over the last year. That's including the dividend. That gain is better than the annual TSR over five years, which is 11%. Therefore it seems like sentiment around the company has been positive lately. In the best case scenario, this may hint at some real business momentum, implying that now could be a great time to delve deeper. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Even so, be aware that Agnico Eagle Mines is showing 4 warning signs in our investment analysis , you should know about...

很高兴看到伊格尔矿业的股东在过去一年中获得了总股东回报率为93%。这已经包括了分红派息。这一增长优于过去五年的年度TSR为11%。因此,最近公司周围的情绪似乎是积极的。在最好的情况下,这可能暗示着一些真正的业务势头,这表明现在可能是深入了解的好时机。虽然值得考虑市场状况对股价可能造成的影响,但还有更重要的因素。即便如此,请注意,在我们的投资分析中,伊格尔矿业显示出4个警示信号,您应该了解...

Agnico Eagle Mines is not the only stock insiders are buying. So take a peek at this free list of small cap companies at attractive valuations which insiders have been buying.

Agnico Eagle Mines并不是唯一一个内部人员正在购买的股票。因此,请查看这个免费列表中具有吸引力估值的小盘公司,内部人员一直在购买。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

请注意,本文所引述的市场回报反映了目前在美国交易所上市的股票的市场加权平均回报。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。

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