Kaiser (China) Culture Co., LTD (SZSE:002425) shares have had a horrible month, losing 25% after a relatively good period beforehand. The recent drop completes a disastrous twelve months for shareholders, who are sitting on a 54% loss during that time.
After such a large drop in price, Kaiser (China) Culture may be sending bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 4.1x, since almost half of all companies in the Entertainment industry in China have P/S ratios greater than 6.3x and even P/S higher than 13x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.
What Does Kaiser (China) Culture's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
Revenue has risen firmly for Kaiser (China) Culture recently, which is pleasing to see. Perhaps the market is expecting this acceptable revenue performance to take a dive, which has kept the P/S suppressed. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Kaiser (China) Culture, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.
Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For Kaiser (China) Culture?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Kaiser (China) Culture would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 13%. Still, lamentably revenue has fallen 35% in aggregate from three years ago, which is disappointing. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 28% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.
With this in mind, we understand why Kaiser (China) Culture's P/S is lower than most of its industry peers. However, we think shrinking revenues are unlikely to lead to a stable P/S over the longer term, which could set up shareholders for future disappointment. There's potential for the P/S to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its top-line growth.
The Bottom Line On Kaiser (China) Culture's P/S
Kaiser (China) Culture's P/S has taken a dip along with its share price. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
As we suspected, our examination of Kaiser (China) Culture revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term is contributing to its low P/S, given the industry is set to grow. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it's hard to see the share price moving strongly in either direction in the near future under these circumstances.
Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Kaiser (China) Culture (2 are significant!) that you should be aware of.
If you're unsure about the strength of Kaiser (China) Culture's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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