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Shenzhen Zhilai Sci and Tech's (SZSE:300771) Earnings Trajectory Could Turn Positive as the Stock Swells 19% This Past Week

Shenzhen Zhilai Sci and Tech's (SZSE:300771) Earnings Trajectory Could Turn Positive as the Stock Swells 19% This Past Week

智莱科技(SZSE:300771)的收入轨迹可能在本周股价上涨19%后转强
Simply Wall St ·  2024/10/04 07:50

While not a mind-blowing move, it is good to see that the Shenzhen Zhilai Sci and Tech Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300771) share price has gained 27% in the last three months. But that doesn't change the fact that the returns over the last half decade have been disappointing. In that time the share price has delivered a rude shock to holders, who find themselves down 56% after a long stretch. So we're hesitant to put much weight behind the short term increase. We'd err towards caution given the long term under-performance.

虽然并非令人惊叹的举动,但很高兴看到深圳智莱科技股份有限公司(SZSE:300771)的股价在过去三个月里上涨了27%。但这并不能改变过去半个世纪以来的回报令人失望的事实。在这段时间内,股价给持有者带来了极大震惊,长时间后他们发现自己亏损了56%。因此,我们对短期增长持谨慎态度。考虑到长期表现不佳,我们更倾向于谨慎。

On a more encouraging note the company has added CN¥395m to its market cap in just the last 7 days, so let's see if we can determine what's driven the five-year loss for shareholders.

更令人鼓舞的是,公司在过去7天仅仅增加了人民币39500万市值,因此让我们看看是什么导致了股东长达五年的损失。

While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

尽管市场是一个强大的价格机制,但股票价格反映的不仅是潜在业务绩效,还反映了投资者的情绪。 了解市场情绪随时间的变化的一种方法是查看公司的股价与每股收益(EPS)之间的互动。

During the five years over which the share price declined, Shenzhen Zhilai Sci and Tech's earnings per share (EPS) dropped by 32% each year. This fall in the EPS is worse than the 15% compound annual share price fall. So investors might expect EPS to bounce back -- or they may have previously foreseen the EPS decline. With a P/E ratio of 55.08, it's fair to say the market sees a brighter future for the business.

在股价下跌的五年里,深圳智莱科技的每股收益(EPS)每年下降32%。这种EPS的下降比每股价格的15%年复合下降更糟糕。因此,投资者可能期待EPS会反弹——或者他们可能已经预见到EPS的下降。以55.08的市盈率来看,可以说市场对该业务的未来看好。

The graphic below depicts how EPS has changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

下图显示了EPS随时间变化的情况(点击图像以显示确切值)。

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SZSE:300771 Earnings Per Share Growth October 3rd 2024
SZSE:300771 每股收益增长2024年10月3日

It's probably worth noting that the CEO is paid less than the median at similar sized companies. It's always worth keeping an eye on CEO pay, but a more important question is whether the company will grow earnings throughout the years. This free interactive report on Shenzhen Zhilai Sci and Tech's earnings, revenue and cash flow is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.

值得注意的是,该公司CEO的薪酬低于类似规模公司的中位数。关注CEO的薪酬总是重要的,但更重要的问题是公司是否会在未来年份增长收益。如果您想进一步调查该股票,深圳智莱科技的收益、营业收入和现金流量的这份免费互动报告是一个很好的开始。

What About Dividends?

那么分红怎么样呢?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. As it happens, Shenzhen Zhilai Sci and Tech's TSR for the last 5 years was -53%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

重要考虑股东整体回报,以及给定股票的股价回报。 股价回报仅反映了股价的变化,而TSR则包括股利价值(假设已经再投资)以及任何折让的资本筹集或分拆的好处。因此,对于支付丰厚股息的公司,TSR通常要比股价回报高得多。 深圳智莱科技过去5年的TSR为-53%,超过了前面提到的股价回报。 因此,公司支付的股息已经提升了股东的整体回报。

A Different Perspective

不同的观点

Shenzhen Zhilai Sci and Tech shareholders are down 2.0% for the year (even including dividends), but the market itself is up 3.3%. Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. However, the loss over the last year isn't as bad as the 9% per annum loss investors have suffered over the last half decade. We would want clear information suggesting the company will grow, before taking the view that the share price will stabilize. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Shenzhen Zhilai Sci and Tech better, we need to consider many other factors. Even so, be aware that Shenzhen Zhilai Sci and Tech is showing 4 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those doesn't sit too well with us...

深圳智莱科技的股东今年下跌了2.0%(包括股息在内),但市场本身上涨了3.3%。即使是好股票的股价有时也会下跌,但我们希望看到业务的基本指标有所改善,然后才会产生兴趣。然而,过去一年的亏损并不像投资者在过去半个十年损失9%一年那么严重。 在认为股价将稳定之前,我们需要清楚的信息表明公司将增长。跟踪股价的长期表现总是很有趣。但要更好地了解深圳智莱科技,我们需要考虑许多其他因素。即便如此,要注意,在我们的投资分析中,深圳智莱科技展示了4个警示信号,其中有1个让我们感到不舒服...

If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.

如果您愿意查看另一家公司(具有潜在的更好财务状况),请不要错过这个免费的公司列表,证明它们可以增长收益。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所上市的股票的市场加权平均回报。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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