Is Doctorglasses ChainLtd (SZSE:300622) Using Too Much Debt?
Is Doctorglasses ChainLtd (SZSE:300622) Using Too Much Debt?
Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, Doctorglasses Chain Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:300622) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
霍华德·马克斯在谈到股价波动时说得很好,他表示,与其担心股价波动,'我担心的是永久性损失的可能性...每一个我认识的实际投资者都会担心这个问题。' 当我们考虑一家公司有多大风险时,我们总是喜欢看看它使用债务的情况,因为债务过多可能导致毁灭。重要的是,博士眼镜链股份有限公司(SZSE:300622)确实承担了债务。但真正的问题是,这笔债务是否让公司变得太冒险。
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
债务带来了什么风险?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
一般来说,只有当一家公司无法轻松偿还债务时,债务才会成为真正的问题,不管是通过融资还是凭借自身现金流。最坏的情况是,如果公司无法偿还其债权人,公司可能会破产。然而,更频繁的(但仍然很昂贵)情况是公司必须以折价的价格发行股票,永久稀释股东,只是为了强化其资产负债表。当然,债务可以成为企业中重要的工具,特别是对于重资产的企业。在考虑一家公司的债务水平时,第一步是考虑其现金和债务。
What Is Doctorglasses ChainLtd's Net Debt?
博士眼镜链有限公司的净债务是多少?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at June 2024 Doctorglasses ChainLtd had debt of CN¥35.0m, up from none in one year. But it also has CN¥250.6m in cash to offset that, meaning it has CN¥215.6m net cash.
下方的图片展示了更详细的情况,根据2024年6月的数据,博士眼镜链有限公司的债务为3500万人民币,比一年前增加了。但公司也有25060万人民币的现金来抵消,意味着净现金为21560万人民币。
A Look At Doctorglasses ChainLtd's Liabilities
博士眼镜连锁有限公司的负债情况
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Doctorglasses ChainLtd had liabilities of CN¥325.8m falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥96.7m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥250.6m as well as receivables valued at CN¥133.7m due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥38.2m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
从最近的资产负债表可以看出,博士眼镜连锁有限公司有着到期一年内的负债人民币32580万,到期超过一年的负债金额为人民币9670万。抵销这些义务,公司有人民币25060万的现金以及价值人民币13370万的应收账款在12个月内到期。因此,公司的负债总额比其现金和近期应收账款加起来多人民币3820万。
Having regard to Doctorglasses ChainLtd's size, it seems that its liquid assets are well balanced with its total liabilities. So it's very unlikely that the CN¥5.02b company is short on cash, but still worth keeping an eye on the balance sheet. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Doctorglasses ChainLtd also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.
考虑到博士眼镜连锁有限公司的规模,其流动资产似乎与总负债平衡。所以50.2亿人民币的公司很不可能现金短缺,但仍值得关注其资产负债表。尽管确实存在需要注意的负债,博士眼镜连锁有限公司的现金多于债务,因此我们相当有信心它能安全地管理债务。
But the other side of the story is that Doctorglasses ChainLtd saw its EBIT decline by 4.9% over the last year. If earnings continue to decline at that rate the company may have increasing difficulty managing its debt load. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Doctorglasses ChainLtd's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
但事情的另一面是,过去一年博士眼镜连锁有限公司的息税前利润(EBIt)下降了4.9%。如果收入继续以这个速度下降,公司可能在管理债务负担方面遇到越来越大的困难。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是显而易见的起点。但未来的收入,尤其是未来的收入,将决定博士眼镜连锁有限公司能否保持健康的资产负债表。因此,如果你专注于未来,可以查看这份免费报告显示分析师的利润预测。
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. While Doctorglasses ChainLtd has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Happily for any shareholders, Doctorglasses ChainLtd actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last three years. There's nothing better than incoming cash when it comes to staying in your lenders' good graces.
最后,一家企业需要自由现金流来偿还债务;会计利润并不足够。虽然博士眼镜连锁有限公司的资产负债表上有净现金,但仍值得查看其将息税前利润(EBIT)转化为自由现金流的能力,以帮助我们了解其建立(或侵蚀)现金余额的速度。在过去三年中,博士眼镜连锁有限公司实际上比EBIt产生了更多的自由现金流。对于任何股东来说,进账现金无疑是保持与贷款人良好关系的最好方法。
Summing Up
总之
We could understand if investors are concerned about Doctorglasses ChainLtd's liabilities, but we can be reassured by the fact it has has net cash of CN¥215.6m. And it impressed us with free cash flow of CN¥224m, being 173% of its EBIT. So we don't think Doctorglasses ChainLtd's use of debt is risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example Doctorglasses ChainLtd has 2 warning signs (and 1 which is concerning) we think you should know about.
如果投资者关注博士眼镜链有限公司的负债,我们可以理解,但是我们可以放心,它拥有21560万人民币的净现金。并且,令我们印象深刻的是,其自由现金流为22400万人民币,占其EBIT的173%。因此,我们认为博士眼镜链有限公司的债务使用并不冒险。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中了解到大部分关于债务的信息。然而,并非所有的投资风险都存在于资产负债表中 - 远非如此。例如,博士眼镜链有限公司有2个警示信号(其中一个令人担忧),我们认为您应该知道。
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
说到底,有时候更容易集中精力关注根本不需要债务的公司。读者可以免费访问零净债务增长股票列表。
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