Should You Think About Buying Constellation Brands, Inc. (NYSE:STZ) Now?
Should You Think About Buying Constellation Brands, Inc. (NYSE:STZ) Now?
Today we're going to take a look at the well-established Constellation Brands, Inc. (NYSE:STZ). The company's stock received a lot of attention from a substantial price movement on the NYSE over the last few months, increasing to US$262 at one point, and dropping to the lows of US$236. Some share price movements can give investors a better opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at a lower price. A question to answer is whether Constellation Brands' current trading price of US$244 reflective of the actual value of the large-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let's take a look at Constellation Brands's outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.
今天我们将看一下成熟的星座品牌公司(NYSE:STZ)。公司的股票在过去几个月在纽交所上出现了剧烈的价格波动,一度飙升到262美元,跌至最低236美元。一些股价波动可能会给投资者更好的进入股票的机会,并有可能以较低的价格买入。一个需要回答的问题是,星座品牌目前的交易价格244美元是否反映了这家大型公司的实际价值?还是目前被低估了,为我们提供了购买的机会?让我们基于最近的财务数据来看一下星座品牌的前景和价值,看看是否有任何导致价格变动的催化剂。
Is Constellation Brands Still Cheap?
星座品牌是否仍然便宜?
According to our price multiple model, where we compare the company's price-to-earnings ratio to the industry average, the stock currently looks expensive. We've used the price-to-earnings ratio in this instance because there's not enough visibility to forecast its cash flows. The stock's ratio of 76.6x is currently well-above the industry average of 23.67x, meaning that it is trading at a more expensive price relative to its peers. In addition to this, it seems like Constellation Brands's share price is quite stable, which could mean two things: firstly, it may take the share price a while to fall back down to an attractive buying range, and secondly, there may be less chances to buy low in the future once it reaches that value. This is because the stock is less volatile than the wider market given its low beta.
根据我们的价格倍数模型,我们将公司的市盈率与行业平均水平进行比较,目前股票看起来相对昂贵。我们在这种情况下使用市盈率是因为没有足够的可见性来预测现金流。目前的市盈率为76.6倍,远高于行业平均水平23.67倍,这意味着相对于同行业来说,它的价格更昂贵。除此之外,星座品牌的股价似乎相当稳定,这可能意味着两件事:首先,股价可能需要一段时间才能回落到吸引人的购买区间,其次,一旦达到该价值,未来就较少买入的机会。这是因为该股票相对于整个市场的波动性较低。
What does the future of Constellation Brands look like?
星座品牌的未来如何?
Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Although value investors would argue that it's the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. Constellation Brands' earnings over the next few years are expected to double, indicating a very optimistic future ahead. This should lead to stronger cash flows, feeding into a higher share value.
投资者寻找其投资组合增长的人可能会在购买股票前考虑公司的前景。虽然价值投资者会认为最重要的是相对于价格的内在价值,但更具说服力的投资主题将是高增长潜力以低廉的价格。星座品牌未来几年的收益预计翻倍,显示了一个非常乐观的未来。这将导致更强劲的现金流,进而提高股价。
What This Means For You
这对您意味着什么?
Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has well and truly priced in STZ's positive outlook, with shares trading above industry price multiples. However, this brings up another question – is now the right time to sell? If you believe STZ should trade below its current price, selling high and buying it back up again when its price falls towards the industry PE ratio can be profitable. But before you make this decision, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.
你是股东吗?市场似乎已经充分地将STZ的积极前景计入股价,股价高于行业价格倍数。然而,这带出另一个问题 - 现在是卖出的时机吗?如果你认为STZ应该以低于目前价格的价格交易,那么在其价格下跌至行业市盈率区间时高价出售再买入是有利可图的。但在做出这个决定之前,请看看其基本面是否发生了变化。
Are you a potential investor? If you've been keeping tabs on STZ for some time, now may not be the best time to enter into the stock. The price has surpassed its industry peers, which means it is likely that there is no more upside from mispricing. However, the positive outlook is encouraging for STZ, which means it's worth diving deeper into other factors in order to take advantage of the next price drop.
您是潜在投资者吗?如果您一直在关注STZ已有一段时间,现在可能不是进入股市的最佳时机。股价已经超过了行业同行,这意味着可能已经没有更多的错价上涨空间。然而,积极的前景对STZ来说是鼓舞人心的,这意味着值得更深入地研究其他因素以利用下一次的价格下跌。
Keep in mind, when it comes to analysing a stock it's worth noting the risks involved. For example, we've discovered 4 warning signs that you should run your eye over to get a better picture of Constellation Brands.
请记住,在分析股票时,值得注意涉及的风险。例如,我们发现了4个警示信号,您应该仔细审视以更全面地了解星座品牌。
If you are no longer interested in Constellation Brands, you can use our free platform to see our list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.
如果您不再对星座品牌感兴趣,您可以使用我们的免费平台,查看我们的超过50种其他具有高增长潜力的股票列表。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。