Core Scientific, Inc. (NASDAQ:CORZ) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 28% after a shaky period beforehand. While recent buyers may be laughing, long-term holders might not be as pleased since the recent gain only brings the stock back to where it started a year ago.
Since its price has surged higher, given around half the companies in the United States' IT industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 2.3x, you may consider Core Scientific as a stock to avoid entirely with its 5.4x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.
What Does Core Scientific's Recent Performance Look Like?
Recent revenue growth for Core Scientific has been in line with the industry. It might be that many expect the mediocre revenue performance to strengthen positively, which has kept the P/S ratio from falling. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.
Keen to find out how analysts think Core Scientific's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.
Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Core Scientific?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Core Scientific's to be considered reasonable.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 8.2% gain to the company's revenues. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 253% in aggregate from three years ago, partly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenues over that time.
Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 7.5% during the coming year according to the ten analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 9.6%, which is noticeably more attractive.
With this in consideration, we believe it doesn't make sense that Core Scientific's P/S is outpacing its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a good chance these shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.
The Final Word
Core Scientific's P/S has grown nicely over the last month thanks to a handy boost in the share price. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
We've concluded that Core Scientific currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its forecast growth is lower than the wider industry. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as the predicted future revenues aren't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless these conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 2 warning signs for Core Scientific you should be aware of, and 1 of them doesn't sit too well with us.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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