Constellium (NYSE:CSTM) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet
Constellium (NYSE:CSTM) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet
David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that Constellium SE (NYSE:CSTM) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
戴维·艾本说得很好,“波动性并不是我们关心的风险。我们关心的是避免资本的永久损失。”因此,聪明的投资者知道,债务是破产时通常涉及的一个非常重要因素,当你评估一家公司的风险性时。我们注意到constellium SE(纽交所:CSTM)的资产负债表上确实有债务。但真正的问题在于,这笔债务是否使公司变得风险较高。
When Is Debt A Problem?
什么时候负债才是一个问题?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
一般来说,债务只有在公司无法轻松偿还时才会成为真正的问题,无论是通过筹集资金还是利用自身的自由现金流。最终,如果公司无法履行偿还债务的法定义务,股东可能一无所有。虽然这并不常见,但我们经常看到负债公司因贷款人强迫他们以低迷价格筹集资金而导致股东永久稀释。然而,通过发行股票稀释,债务实际上可以成为需要资本以高回报率投资增长的企业的极好工具。在我们考虑一家公司使用债务时,我们首先看现金和债务的总量。
What Is Constellium's Debt?
constellium的债务是多少?
As you can see below, Constellium had €1.72b of debt at June 2024, down from €1.87b a year prior. On the flip side, it has €213.0m in cash leading to net debt of about €1.50b.
正如您下面所看到的,2024年6月,constellium的债务为17.2亿欧元,比前一年的18.7亿欧元有所减少。另一方面,它拥有2.13亿欧元的现金,净债务约为15亿欧元。
A Look At Constellium's Liabilities
查看Constellium的负债情况
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Constellium had liabilities of €1.55b falling due within a year, and liabilities of €2.41b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had €213.0m in cash and €672.0m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by €3.08b.
我们可以从最近的资产负债表中看到,Constellium的负债中有15.5亿欧元是在一年内到期的,24.1亿欧元是在此之后到期的。与此相抵,它有2.13亿欧元的现金和6.72亿欧元的应收款项将在12个月内到期。因此,其负债超过了其现金和(近期)应收款项的总和达到了30.8亿欧元。
Given this deficit is actually higher than the company's market capitalization of €2.15b, we think shareholders really should watch Constellium's debt levels, like a parent watching their child ride a bike for the first time. Hypothetically, extremely heavy dilution would be required if the company were forced to pay down its liabilities by raising capital at the current share price.
鉴于这一赤字实际上高于公司21.5亿欧元的市值,我们认为股东们确实应该像看着孩子第一次骑自行车那样关注Constellium的债务水平。假设,如果公司被迫以当前股价筹集资本来偿还其债务,那么可能需要进行极端的权益稀释。
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
Service Corporation International的债务是其EBITDA的3.5倍,而其EBIT可覆盖其利息开支的3.7倍。综合考虑,虽然我们不希望看到债务水平上升,但我们认为它可以应对当前的杠杆。好消息是,Service Corporation International在过去12个月中将其EBIT提高了2.9%,从而逐渐降低了其相对于收益的债务水平。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中获得了有关债务的大部分内容。但是,相对于资产负债表,更重要的是未来收益,这将决定Service Corporation International维持健康资产负债表的能力。如果您关注未来,您可以查看此免费报告,其中有分析师的利润预测。
Constellium has a debt to EBITDA ratio of 2.5 and its EBIT covered its interest expense 3.8 times. Taken together this implies that, while we wouldn't want to see debt levels rise, we think it can handle its current leverage. Pleasingly, Constellium is growing its EBIT faster than former Australian PM Bob Hawke downs a yard glass, boasting a 116% gain in the last twelve months. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Constellium can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
Constellium的债务与EBITDA比率为2.5,其EBIT覆盖了利息费用3.8倍。综合考虑,这意味着,虽然我们不希望看到债务水平上升,但我们认为公司可以应对其目前的杠杆。令人高兴的是,Constellium的EBIT增长速度比澳大利亚前总理鲍勃·豪克喝掉一杯玻璃的速度更快,在过去12个月里增长了116%。资产负债表显然是分析债务时要重点关注的领域。但最终业务未来的盈利能力将决定Constellium是否能够随着时间加强其资产负债表。因此,如果您专注于未来,可以查看这份显示分析师利润预测的免费报告。
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Looking at the most recent three years, Constellium recorded free cash flow of 46% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.
但我们的最后考虑也很重要,因为公司无法用纸面利润偿还债务;它需要冷硬现金。因此,值得检查那些EBIT有多少是由自由现金流支持的。查看最近三年,Constellium录得的自由现金流占其EBIT的46%,这比我们的预期要弱。在偿还债务方面这并不理想。
Our View
我们的观点
Neither Constellium's ability to handle its total liabilities nor its interest cover gave us confidence in its ability to take on more debt. But the good news is it seems to be able to grow its EBIT with ease. Taking the abovementioned factors together we do think Constellium's debt poses some risks to the business. So while that leverage does boost returns on equity, we wouldn't really want to see it increase from here. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 1 warning sign with Constellium , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
康斯特利姆处理总负债的能力以及其利息偿付覆盖率未能让我们对其承担更多债务的能力产生信心。但好消息是,它似乎能轻松增长EBIt。综合考虑上述因素,我们确实认为康斯特利姆的债务对业务构成了一些风险。因此,虽然杠杆确实提高了股本回报率,但我们实际上不希望看到它从这里增加。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是显而易见的起点。但是,最终,每家公司都可能存在资产负债表之外的风险。我们已经识别出康斯特利姆1个警示信号,了解这些信号应该成为您投资过程的一部分。
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
如果您有兴趣投资能够在不负债的情况下增长利润的企业,请查看这份免费列表,其中列出了在资产负债表上拥有净现金的成长型企业。
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
对本文有任何反馈?对内容有任何疑虑?请直接与我们联系。或者,发送电子邮件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。