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Billionaires Are Selling NVIDIA and Picking Up This TSX Stock

Billionaires Are Selling NVIDIA and Picking Up This TSX Stock

亿万富翁正在抛售英伟达股票,转而购入这只tsx股票
The Motley Fool ·  10/04 17:00

NVIDIA (NASDAQ:NVDA) is officially falling out of favour with billionaires. In the last 12 months, it has been sold by some of its biggest supporters, including:

英伟达(纳斯达克:NVDA)正式失宠于亿万富豪。在过去12个月中,一些最大的支持者已经抛售了该股,包括:

  • Stanley Druckenmiller.
  • Ken Griffin.
  • Steven Cohen.
  • Phillippe Laffont.
  • Stanley Druckenmiller。
  • Ken Griffin。
  • cohen。
  • Phillippe Laffont。

It's not hard to see why these and other top investors sold their NVDA shares. Although the company is a monopoly in the world's hottest industry – generative artificial intelligence (AI) – it is also extremely expensive, trading at 55 times earnings and 30 times sales. U.S. tech stocks in general are pricey, but NVDA is really something else.

不难理解为什么这些顶级投资者卖出了他们的英伟达股票。尽管该公司是世界上最热门的产业——生成式人工智能(AI)的垄断者,但也非常昂贵,以55倍的市盈率和30倍的销售额交易。整体而言,美国科技股估值偏高,但英伟达真的是与众不同。

The question is, where are billionaires putting their money now, if not NVIDIA? While not quite as expensive as NVIDIA, most of the U.S. tech companies are pricey. Additionally, non-tech U.S. sectors usually trade at premiums to their international peers. As you might expect given these facts, the "smart money" is largely going to non-U.S. countries, such as China, Japan, and yes – even Canada. In this article, I will explore one Canadian stock that has seen increased billionaire buying in the last year.

问题是,如果不投资英伟达,亿万富翁们现在把钱放在哪里?虽然没有英伟达那么昂贵,但大多数美国科技公司价格不菲。此外,非科技类美国行业板块的股票通常以溢价交易,相对于国际同行。鉴于这些事实,大部分“聪明的资金”大多都流向了非美国国家,如中国、日本,甚至加拿大。在本文中,我将探讨一家加拿大股票,在过去一年中引起了亿万富翁的增加购买行为。

Shopify

shopify

Shopify Inc (TSX:SHOP) is a Canadian stock that is widely owned by billionaires and multi-millionaires. These include:

Shopify Inc (TSX:SHOP)是一家加拿大股票,被许多亿万富翁拥有。其中包括:

  • Ron Baron.
  • Tobias Lutke (the company's founder)
  • Cathie Wood.
  • Stan Moss.
  • Ron Baron。
  • Tobias Lutke(该公司创始人)
  • Cathie Wood。
  • Stan Moss.

What billionaires like about Shopify

亿万富翁喜欢Shopify的原因

Shopify has many things going for it that tech investors like. These include:

Shopify有很多方面受到科技投资者的喜爱。这些包括:

  • High growth, with revenue up 21% and free cash flow up 243% year over year in the most recent quarter.
  • Many big-name stores, such as the brand store of makeup influencer Jeffree Star.
  • A charismatic CEO with a large social media following.
  • A strong brand identity.
  • 高增长,最近一个季度营业收入增长21%,自由现金流增长243%。
  • 许多知名商店,如化妆品网红Jeffree Star的品牌店。
  • 一位拥有庞大社交媒体追随者的魅力CEO。
  • 强大的品牌身份。

These advantages are considerable. The most important of them would have to be the "large celebrity stores" thing. These stores are big, and the bigger they get, the more revenue they pay out to Shopify. So Shopify gets some growth from their success without having to pay for it in marketing expenses.

这些优势是可观的。其中最重要的恐怕要算是“大型名人商店”这件事情。这些商店很大,它们变得越大,就越多的营业收入支付给了shopify。因此,shopify在这些成功中获得了一些增长,而无需支付营销费用。

Why I'm personally not convinced

为什么我个人并不信服

Although many big name investors, including some billionaires, are buying SHOP stock, I'm not the biggest fan of it. In fact, I personally would rather buy NVDA stock than SHOP stock at today's prices (though I'm not interested in either). The reasons for this include:

尽管许多知名投资者,包括一些亿万富翁,正在购买shopify股票,但我并不是它的铁粉。事实上,我个人更愿意以今天的价格买入英伟达股票(尽管我对这两者都不感兴趣)。这其中的原因包括:

  • Shopify's steep valuation. At 74.4 times earnings, SHOP is arguably more expensive than NVIDIA.
  • Underwhelming growth. Shopify's 21% revenue growth might seem high, and the 243% free cash flow growth is in fact high, but remember that this stock is at 74.4 times earnings. It takes a lot of sustained growth to justify such a multiple, and it's not clear that Shopify can keep up the growth it's doing now.
  • Chinese competition. Apps like AliExpress and TEMU are giving Western e-commerce companies a run for their money. Offering cheap products and wide selections, they have a certain magic that has attracted a subset of North America's consumer base.
  • shopify的高估值。以74.4倍的市盈率来看,shopify的股价可能比英伟达还要贵。
  • 令人失望的增长。shopify的营业收入增长21%可能看起来不低,而自由现金流增长达到243%确实很高,但请记住这支股票的市盈率是74.4倍。要证明这个估值是合理的,需要持续高增长,而目前shopify是否能维持这种增长势头还不清楚。
  • 中国的竞争。像AliExpress和TEMU这样的应用正在对西方电子商务公司造成挑战。提供廉价产品和广泛选择,它们有一种特定的魔力,吸引了北美消费者群体的一部分。

Neither of the factors listed above is in itself a fatal blow to Shopify. Collectively, however, they imply that the company is not the most interesting in today's equity market.

以上列出的因素中没有一项是Shopify的致命打击。然而,总体而言,它们意味着该公司在当今股票市场上并不是最有趣的。

Foolish takeaway

愚蠢的带走

Billionaires are selling NVIDIA, and some of them are buying Shopify. That's an interesting fact. However, for my money, it does not make Shopify a buy. I'd personally rather hold NVDA.

亿万富翁正在抛售英伟达股票,其中一些在买入Shopify。这是一个有趣的事实。然而,就我的看法而言,这并不意味着Shopify是一个买入的股票。我个人更愿意持有NVDA。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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