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Why Many Idea Cloud Holdings' (HKG:6696) Soft Earnings Are Just The Beginning Of Its Problems

Why Many Idea Cloud Holdings' (HKG:6696) Soft Earnings Are Just The Beginning Of Its Problems

为什么Many Idea Cloud Holdings(HKG:6696)的营收下滑只是其问题的开始
Simply Wall St ·  2024/10/04 17:17

The market shrugged off Many Idea Cloud Holdings Limited's (HKG:6696) weak earnings report. Despite the strength in the stock, we feel that investors should be cautious about some numbers in the earnings.

市场对Many Idea Cloud Holdings Limited(HKG:6696)的业绩报告反应不强烈。尽管股票表现强劲,但我们认为投资者应谨慎关注业绩中的一些数字。

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SEHK:6696 Earnings and Revenue History October 4th 2024
SEHK:6696盈利和营业收入历史数据为2024年10月4日。

Zooming In On Many Idea Cloud Holdings' Earnings

聚焦Many Idea Cloud Holdings的盈利情况

Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.

很多投资者并不了解从现金流量表中计算的预付账款率,但它实际上是衡量公司利润由自由现金流(FCF)支撑情况的有用指标。简单地讲,这个比率将自由现金流(FCF)从净利润中减去,然后除以该期间公司的平均营运资产。这一比率告诉我们公司多少利润不由自由现金流支撑。

That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

这意味着负的应计比率是一件好事,因为它表明公司带来的自由现金流比其利润所显示的更多。虽然拥有正的应计比率并不是问题,表明一定程度的非现金利润,但高应计比率可能是一件坏事,因为这表明纸面利润不能得到现金流支持。这是因为一些学术研究表明,高应计比率往往导致较低的利润或利润增长率。

Over the twelve months to June 2024, Many Idea Cloud Holdings recorded an accrual ratio of 0.36. Therefore, we know that it's free cashflow was significantly lower than its statutory profit, raising questions about how useful that profit figure really is. Over the last year it actually had negative free cash flow of CN¥185m, in contrast to the aforementioned profit of CN¥19.8m. Coming off the back of negative free cash flow last year, we imagine some shareholders might wonder if its cash burn of CN¥185m, this year, indicates high risk. Unfortunately for shareholders, the company has also been issuing new shares, diluting their share of future earnings.

在截至2024年6月的十二个月内,Many Idea Cloud Holdings的应计比率为0.36。因此,我们知道它的自由现金流明显低于其法定利润,这引发了有关这一利润数字实际用途的疑问。在过去一年中,其实际出现了负的自由现金流18500万人民币,与前述的1980万人民币利润形成对比。在去年出现负的自由现金流之后,我们可以想象一些股东可能会对该公司今年的18500万人民币现金状况表示担忧,这表明高风险。不幸的是对于股东而言,该公司还在发行新股,稀释了他们未来收益份额。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Many Idea Cloud Holdings.

注:我们始终建议投资者检查资产负债表实力。单击此处查看有关Many Idea Cloud Holdings资产负债表分析。

To understand the value of a company's earnings growth, it is imperative to consider any dilution of shareholders' interests. Many Idea Cloud Holdings expanded the number of shares on issue by 70% over the last year. Therefore, each share now receives a smaller portion of profit. Per share metrics like EPS help us understand how much actual shareholders are benefitting from the company's profits, while the net income level gives us a better view of the company's absolute size. You can see a chart of Many Idea Cloud Holdings' EPS by clicking here.

为了了解一家公司盈利增长的价值,必须考虑股东权益的稀释。许多Idea Cloud Holdings在过去一年内股份发行量增加了70%。因此,现在每股收益的份额减少了。每股指标如EPS帮助我们了解实际股东从公司利润中获益的程度,而净收入水平让我们更好地了解公司的绝对规模。您可以点击这里查看Many Idea Cloud Holdings的EPS图表。

A Look At The Impact Of Many Idea Cloud Holdings' Dilution On Its Earnings Per Share (EPS)

观察许多Idea Cloud Holdings的股份稀释对其每股收益(EPS)的影响

Unfortunately, Many Idea Cloud Holdings' profit is down 52% per year over three years. Even looking at the last year, profit was still down 71%. Sadly, earnings per share fell further, down a full 76% in that time. So you can see that the dilution has had a fairly significant impact on shareholders.

不幸的是,许多Idea Cloud Holdings的利润在过去三年中年均下降了52%。即使看过去一年,利润仍然下降了71%。可悲的是,每股收益进一步下降,这段时间下降了整整76%。因此您可以看到,稀释对股东产生了相当显著的影响。

In the long term, if Many Idea Cloud Holdings' earnings per share can increase, then the share price should too. However, if its profit increases while its earnings per share stay flat (or even fall) then shareholders might not see much benefit. For the ordinary retail shareholder, EPS is a great measure to check your hypothetical "share" of the company's profit.

从长期来看,如果许多Idea Cloud Holdings的每股收益能够增加,那么股价也应该会上涨。然而,如果其利润增加而每股收益保持不变(甚至下降),那么股东可能不会看到太多的好处。对于普通零售股东而言,EPS是一个很好的指标,可以检查您在公司利润中的假设“份额”。

Our Take On Many Idea Cloud Holdings' Profit Performance

我们对许多Idea Cloud Holdings的利润表现的看法

As it turns out, Many Idea Cloud Holdings couldn't match its profit with cashflow and its dilution means that shareholders own less of the company than the did before (unless they bought more shares). For the reasons mentioned above, we think that a perfunctory glance at Many Idea Cloud Holdings' statutory profits might make it look better than it really is on an underlying level. In light of this, if you'd like to do more analysis on the company, it's vital to be informed of the risks involved. To help with this, we've discovered 5 warning signs (3 are a bit unpleasant!) that you ought to be aware of before buying any shares in Many Idea Cloud Holdings.

事实表明,许多Idea Cloud Holdings无法将利润与现金流匹配,其稀释意味着股东持有的公司股份比之前要少(除非他们购买更多股票)。基于上述原因,我们认为,对许多Idea Cloud Holdings的法定利润进行肤浅的扫视可能让其看起来比实际情况要好。鉴于此,如果您想对该公司进行更深入的分析,了解涉及的风险至关重要。为了帮助您,我们发现了5个警示信号(其中3个有点令人不快!)在购买任何许多Idea Cloud Holdings股票之前,这是您应该了解的。

Our examination of Many Idea Cloud Holdings has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. And, on that basis, we are somewhat skeptical. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.

我们对Many Idea Cloud Holdings的审查主要集中在某些因素上,这些因素可以使其盈利看起来比实际情况更好。基于这一点,我们有些持怀疑态度。但是,如果您能够把注意力集中在细节上,总会有更多发现。有些人认为股东权益回报率高是优质业务的一个好迹象。因此,您可能希望查看这个自由收集具有高股东权益回报率的公司,或者这份具有高内部持股的股票清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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