Beisen Holding Limited (HKG:9669) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 41% after a shaky period beforehand. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 13% over that time.
Since its price has surged higher, when almost half of the companies in Hong Kong's Software industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1.6x, you may consider Beisen Holding as a stock not worth researching with its 3.8x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.
What Does Beisen Holding's Recent Performance Look Like?
Beisen Holding certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue more than most other companies. The P/S is probably high because investors think this strong revenue performance will continue. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.
Keen to find out how analysts think Beisen Holding's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.
Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Beisen Holding?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as steep as Beisen Holding's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry decidedly.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 14%. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 54% in aggregate from three years ago, partly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.
Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 16% per annum during the coming three years according to the four analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 15% per annum, which is not materially different.
With this information, we find it interesting that Beisen Holding is trading at a high P/S compared to the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly average growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.
The Final Word
Shares in Beisen Holding have seen a strong upwards swing lately, which has really helped boost its P/S figure. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
Analysts are forecasting Beisen Holding's revenues to only grow on par with the rest of the industry, which has lead to the high P/S ratio being unexpected. Right now we are uncomfortable with the relatively high share price as the predicted future revenues aren't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. This places shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.
Many other vital risk factors can be found on the company's balance sheet. You can assess many of the main risks through our free balance sheet analysis for Beisen Holding with six simple checks.
If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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